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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −172.31$

Invest at least 333.07$

Average return 160.76$

ROI −51.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 333.07 $, profit at most −172.31 $

float premium: at least 181 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +47.89 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1750
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1167

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

69.54 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1400
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1149

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

31.72 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0802
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.27 $ +19.49 (+13.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −88 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

80.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1809
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1211

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

34.77 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1441
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1192

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

47.58 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0539

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 162.37 $ +28.29 (+17.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

100.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1788
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1196

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

23.18 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1427
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1177

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

47.58 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 170.78 $ +34.82 (+20.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1770
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1182

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

81.13 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1414
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1163

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

31.72 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0806
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0529

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.86 $ +12.95 (+9.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

120.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1768
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1180

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

11.59 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1412
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1162

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

47.58 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0806
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0529

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.19 $ +41.36 (+23.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

179.53 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

121.46 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

244.69 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

400.08 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.58 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.57 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381129 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 24.95$ · invest 159.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −127 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164648 instead of 0.164203
Craft 3392670 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.32$ · invest 157.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −60 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163904 instead of 0.164203

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build