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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5.36$

Invest at least 12.70$

Average return 7.34$

ROI −42.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 12.70 $, profit at most −5.36 $

float premium: at least 7 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.12 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.21 $

at 0.40

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.51 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0935
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.50 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0700–0.0935
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0467

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.51 $

at 0.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.05 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.53 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1002
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0862
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1002

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.25 $ +2.09 (+39.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

3.23 $

at 0.40

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.51 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0943
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.50 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0700–0.0943
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0471

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1.18 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1011
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0869
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1011

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.41 $ +0.49 (+11.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.62 $

at 0.40

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.51 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0942
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.50 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0700–0.0942
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0471

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.51 $

at 0.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0377
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.05 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0377

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2.94 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1010
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0868
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.06 $ +1.66 (+32.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

0.51 $

at 0.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0376
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.05 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0376

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

4.71 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1008
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0867
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1008

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

0.84 $

at 0.84

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.43 $ +1.60 $ per item · on the market 645 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +3.08 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0647

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.05 $ +3.12 (+51.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1.01 $

at 0.51

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.97 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0376
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.05 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0000–0.0376

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

4.71 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1008
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 623 · buy 0.0700–0.0867
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.62 $ per item · on the market 965 · buy 0.0700–0.1008

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.72 $ +2.84 (+49.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

9.90 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

6.98 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.85 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086170

5.72 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

2.47 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.059361

5.38 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086170

3.34 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.75 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build