Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401670 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
104 140.98 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0143
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007796f′ (normalized) 0.015592wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸ · little data, days: 3
×4
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
202 819.22 ₸
at 50 704.80
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 228 997.24 ₸+178 292.44 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0584
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007796f′ (normalized) 0.012993wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs306 960.20 ₸
−23 234.29
(−7.6%)
!
The gain is understated:18 outcomes have no price, that is 18.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
208 281.96 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸ · little data, days: 3
×3
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
152 114.41 ₸
at 50 704.80
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 228 997.24 ₸+178 292.44 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0581
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.012512wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs360 396.37 ₸
−4 508.64
(−1.2%)
!
The gain is understated:18 outcomes have no price, that is 15.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −89 011 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −89 011 ₸: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Factory New), ★ Karambit and 27 more
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
312 422.94 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0133
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007239f′ (normalized) 0.014478wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸ · little data, days: 3
×2
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
101 409.61 ₸
at 50 704.80
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 228 997.24 ₸+178 292.44 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0578
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007239f′ (normalized) 0.012065wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs413 832.55 ₸
+14 216.95
(+3.4%)
!
The gain is understated:18 outcomes have no price, that is 11.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −78 080 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −78 080 ₸: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Factory New), ★ Karambit and 27 more
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0069
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
416 563.92 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0128
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006989f′ (normalized) 0.013979wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸ · little data, days: 3
×1
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0069
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
50 704.80 ₸
at 50 704.80
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 228 997.24 ₸+178 292.44 ₸ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0575
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006989f′ (normalized) 0.011649wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 838 495.66 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 855 607.85 ₸listings 283 · you get 838 495.66 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 003 496.73 ₸
(you get 872 605.83 ₸)) · buy orders: 3579
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 448 417.67 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 457 569.09 ₸listings 10 · you get 448 417.67 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 401 739.25 ₸
(you get 349 338.44 ₸)) · buy orders: 500
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 578 295.81 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 590 097.79 ₸listings 24 · you get 578 295.81 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 729 475.81 ₸
(you get 634 326.75 ₸)) · buy orders: 406
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 310 629.36 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 316 968.76 ₸listings 5 · you get 310 629.36 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 312 309.56 ₸
(you get 271 573.50 ₸)) · buy orders: 127
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 393 946.58 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 401 986.31 ₸listings 4 · you get 393 946.58 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 404 111.09 ₸
(you get 351 400.91 ₸)) · buy orders: 132
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 957 922.86 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 997 880.51 ₸listings 3 · you get 1 957 922.86 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 905 263.97 ₸
(you get 787 186.05 ₸)) · buy orders: 173
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 574 391.74 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 586 114.02 ₸listings 6 · you get 574 391.74 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 543 156.34 ₸
(you get 472 309.84 ₸)) · buy orders: 155
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 377 101.23 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 384 797.18 ₸listings 6 · you get 377 101.23 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 380 605.78 ₸
(you get 330 961.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 252
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 417 029.53 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 425 540.38 ₸listings 9 · you get 417 029.53 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 346 918.86 ₸
(you get 301 668.53 ₸)) · buy orders: 142
month average 682 808.14 ₸, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 572 393.56 ₸
(you get 497 733.47 ₸)) · buy orders: 3397
month average 182 037.52 ₸, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 140 074.10 ₸
(you get 121 803.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 133 187.65 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 135 905.81 ₸listings 3 · you get 133 187.65 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 495 991.35 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 522 096.21 ₸listings 3 · you get 495 991.35 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 454 892.32 ₸
(you get 395 558.50 ₸)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 53 798.47 ₸The Vanguard Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 61 868.24 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 68 259.44 ₸sell now to a buy order: 57 775.03 ₸
(you get 50 239.14 ₸)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 47 247.38 ₸The Vanguard Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 54 334.49 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 66 560.45 ₸sell now to a buy order: 56 913.51 ₸
(you get 49 489.98 ₸)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 649 093.27 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 662 340.09 ₸listings 187 · you get 649 093.27 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 905 263.97 ₸
(you get 787 186.05 ₸)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 455 226.55 ₸The Vanguard Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 523 510.51 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 315 376.35 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 321 812.65 ₸listings 6 · you get 315 376.35 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 308 346.44 ₸
(you get 268 127.33 ₸)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 644 177.62 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 657 324.11 ₸listings 19 · you get 644 177.62 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 861 811.04 ₸
(you get 749 400.87 ₸)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 1 220 033.38 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 244 932.07 ₸listings 3 · you get 1 220 033.38 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 347 334.41 ₸
(you get 302 029.87 ₸)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 370 920.37 ₸The Vanguard Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 426 558.42 ₸sell now to a buy order: 420 946.93 ₸
(you get 366 040.77 ₸)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 203 239.83 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 207 387.59 ₸listings 6 · you get 203 239.83 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 207 164.09 ₸
(you get 180 142.65 ₸)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 310 110.27 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 316 439.10 ₸listings 3 · you get 310 110.27 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 2 584 239.23 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 636 978.83 ₸listings 3 · you get 2 584 239.23 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 546 546.67 ₸
(you get 1 344 823.16 ₸)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 443 204.85 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 452 249.87 ₸listings 6 · you get 443 204.85 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 292 249.02 ₸The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 298 213.31 ₸listings 8 · you get 292 249.02 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 202 785.31 ₸
(you get 176 335.03 ₸)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 71 733.28 ₸The Vanguard Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 82 493.25 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 99 979.67 ₸sell now to a buy order: 83 758.58 ₸
(you get 72 833.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 28 681.63 ₸The Vanguard Collectionsells 21 a weekmonth average 32 983.87 ₸, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 27 493.85 ₸
(you get 23 907.64 ₸)) · buy orders: 1821
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 333 080.46 ₸sell now to a buy order: 329 378.57 ₸
(you get 286 416.11 ₸)) · buy orders: 1384
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16104 140.98 → 224 944.52 ₸
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37202 819.22 → 479 667.45 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−34 943.75 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−25 625.02 ₸historical median
9% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401669
· The Vanguard Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −23 234.28₸
· invest 306 960.20₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.