Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401695 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(3% of this wear's listings)
12 533.11 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 132 · from 25 455.20 ₽ (float 0.0042) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(1% of this wear's listings)
19 833.56 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0203
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 163 · from 10 050.71 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs32 366.67 ₽
−17 556.37
(−54.2%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 15.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(10% of this wear's listings)
50 132.44 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 19 824.23 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 132 · from 10 407.31 ₽ (float 0.0105) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(1% of this wear's listings)
4 958.39 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0255
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 163 · from 10 050.71 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs55 090.83 ₽
−41 998.32
(−76.2%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 15.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(3% of this wear's listings)
37 599.33 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 132 · from 17 564.19 ₽ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(1% of this wear's listings)
9 916.78 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0233
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 163 · from 10 050.71 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs47 516.11 ₽
−33 851.00
(−71.2%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 15.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(3% of this wear's listings)
25 066.22 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 132 · from 25 455.20 ₽ (float 0.0042) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(1% of this wear's listings)
14 875.17 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0216
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 163 · from 10 050.71 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 19 305.66 ₽The CS20 Collectionsells 10 a weeknow 22 201.51 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 26 757.59 ₽sell now to a buy order: 21 125.60 ₽
(you get 18 370.08 ₽)) · buy orders: 576
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 807.52 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 718.78 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 17 709.08 ₽listings: 118
on CS.Money: ~ 19 720.67 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 19 593.49 ₽listings: 65
month average 19 652.34 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 16 096.30 ₽
(you get 13 996.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 322
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 354.87 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 739.99 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 13 189.24 ₽listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 14 761.33 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 920.14 ₽listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 001.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 996.27 ₽
(you get 13 909.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 165
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 248.75 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 106.09 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 17 063.51 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 16 135.39 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 321.90 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 244.23 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 644.33 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 057.38 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 14 542.38 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 13 103.11 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 722.69 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 31 665.02 ₽sell now to a buy order: 27 598.54 ₽
(you get 23 998.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 167
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 394.26 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 327.04 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 25 524.42 ₽listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 27 664.00 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 28 381.22 ₽listings: 21
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 12 005.64 ₽The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 12 250.66 ₽listings 3 · you get 12 005.64 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 12 250.66 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 272.29 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 084.94 ₽
(you get 12 247.77 ₽)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 17 189.08 ₽
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 938.05 ₽sell now to a buy order: 43 371.33 ₽
(you get 37 714.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 44Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 70 235.03 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 80 696.27 ₽listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 20 854.28 ₽The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 21 279.88 ₽listings 4 · you get 20 854.28 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 14 808.56 ₽
(you get 12 877.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 57not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 21 279.88 ₽listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 572.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 568.58 ₽
(you get 11 798.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 85Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 12 834.26 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)The CS20 Collectionsell now to a buy order: 12 314.18 ₽
(you get 10 707.98 ₽)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 23 059.64 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)The CS20 Collectionsell now to a buy order: 16 096.30 ₽
(you get 13 996.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 104Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 15 337.68 ₽The CS20 Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 17 638.33 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 19 273.65 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 208.67 ₽
(you get 13 224.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 839.86 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 175.29 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 14 046.52 ₽listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 15 127.58 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 248.81 ₽listings: 45
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 15 975.30 ₽sells 16 a weeknow 18 371.59 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 22 208.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 17 545.34 ₽
(you get 15 256.81 ₽)) · buy orders: 814
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 139.20 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 600.00 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 13 708.44 ₽listings: 98
on CS.Money: ~ 15 330.43 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 335.50 ₽listings: 51
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 20 498.65 ₽sells 8 a weekmonth average 23 573.45 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 20 275.82 ₽
(you get 17 631.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 381Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 16 743.13 ₽listings: 21
on CS.Money: ~ 18 444.82 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 18 255.65 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 24 264.81 ₽sell now to a buy order: 23 801.11 ₽
(you get 20 696.61 ₽)) · buy orders: 158not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 25 757.86 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 24 509.37 ₽
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 593.25 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 427.72 ₽
(you get 10 806.71 ₽)) · buy orders: 124Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 15 544.55 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 29 116.13 ₽sell now to a buy order: 28 732.19 ₽
(you get 24 984.51 ₽)) · buy orders: 160Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 24 792.72 ₽listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 25 291.79 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 27 242.21 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 252.94 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 104.84 ₽
(you get 9 656.38 ₽)) · buy orders: 139Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 998.03 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 295.96 ₽
(you get 7 213.87 ₽)) · buy orders: 93Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 23 665.77 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 24 148.75 ₽listings 3 · you get 23 665.77 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 18 022.95 ₽
(you get 15 672.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 671.91 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 631.49 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 24 148.75 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 27 577.07 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 11 435.30 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 11 668.68 ₽listings 3 · you get 11 435.30 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 7 518.27 ₽
(you get 6 537.62 ₽)) · buy orders: 109not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 11 668.68 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 921.76 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 15 440.71 ₽listings: 6
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 9 025.89 ₽
(you get 7 848.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 45not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knifenet 8 447.47 ₽sells 16 a weeknow 9 714.59 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 10 779.41 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 581.31 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 8 312.85 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 7 536.82 ₽listings: 29
on CS.Money: ~ 8 345.00 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 7 324.32 ₽listings: 41
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1612 533.11 → 27 071.52 ₽
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3719 833.56 → 46 906.37 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Falchion Collection + The CS20 Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−19 015.52 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−17 802.38 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401701
· The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −16 093.89₽
· invest 30 388.54₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007211 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401702
· The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −16 093.89₽
· invest 30 388.54₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007211 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401696
· The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −17 556.37₽
· invest 32 366.67₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.