Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401722 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
11 194.93 ₴
at 2 798.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴+4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 12 687.60 ₴ · little data, days: 0
×1
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
5 068.49 ₴
at 5 068.49
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 5 689.09 ₴+620.60 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1910
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 10 750.87 ₴ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs16 263.42 ₴
−5 070.48
(−31.2%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 24.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
2 798.73 ₴
at 2 798.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴+4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 12 687.60 ₴ · little data, days: 0
×4
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
20 273.96 ₴
at 5 068.49
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 5 689.09 ₴+620.60 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1910
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 10 750.87 ₴ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs23 072.69 ₴
−4 349.28
(−18.9%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 21.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
5 597.46 ₴
at 2 798.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴+4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 12 687.60 ₴ · little data, days: 0
×3
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
15 205.47 ₴
at 5 068.49
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 5 689.09 ₴+620.60 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1910
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 10 750.87 ₴ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs20 802.93 ₴
−4 589.68
(−22.1%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 19.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
8 396.19 ₴
at 2 798.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴+4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 12 687.60 ₴ · little data, days: 0
×2
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
10 136.98 ₴
at 5 068.49
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 5 689.09 ₴+620.60 ₴ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1910
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 10 750.87 ₴ · little data, days: 1
month average 11 092.64 ₴, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 9 085.45 ₴
(you get 7 900.39 ₴)) · buy orders: 322
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 6 776.51 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 6 914.81 ₴listings 3 · you get 6 776.51 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 11 771.07 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 12 011.29 ₴listings 4 · you get 11 771.07 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 8 358.60 ₴
(you get 7 268.34 ₴)) · buy orders: 57
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 8 657.26 ₴sells 13 a weeknow 9 955.84 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 10 878.89 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 584.44 ₴
(you get 7 464.73 ₴)) · buy orders: 1042
month average 18 270.14 ₴, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 14 058.50 ₴
(you get 12 224.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 13 367.34 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 13 640.15 ₴listings 3 · you get 13 367.34 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 49 780.03 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 52 400.03 ₴listings 3 · you get 49 780.03 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 45 655.13 ₴
(you get 39 700.11 ₴)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 5 399.47 ₴The Phoenix Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 6 209.39 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 850.84 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 798.57 ₴
(you get 5 042.24 ₴)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 4 741.97 ₴The Phoenix Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 5 453.26 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 680.32 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 712.11 ₴
(you get 4 967.05 ₴)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 65 146.06 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 66 475.57 ₴listings 187 · you get 65 146.06 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 90 856.55 ₴
(you get 79 005.70 ₴)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 45 688.68 ₴The Phoenix Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 52 541.98 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 31 652.65 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 32 298.63 ₴listings 6 · you get 31 652.65 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 30 947.10 ₴
(you get 26 910.52 ₴)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 64 652.70 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 65 972.14 ₴listings 19 · you get 64 652.70 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 86 495.41 ₴
(you get 75 213.40 ₴)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 122 448.29 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 124 947.24 ₴listings 3 · you get 122 448.29 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 34 860.12 ₴
(you get 30 313.14 ₴)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 37 227.31 ₴The Phoenix Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 42 811.41 ₴sell now to a buy order: 42 248.21 ₴
(you get 36 737.57 ₴)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 20 398.11 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 20 814.39 ₴listings 6 · you get 20 398.11 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 20 791.96 ₴
(you get 18 079.96 ₴)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 31 124.13 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 31 759.32 ₴listings 3 · you get 31 124.13 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 259 366.41 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 264 659.60 ₴listings 3 · you get 259 366.41 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 155 218.70 ₴
(you get 134 972.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 44 482.12 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 45 389.92 ₴listings 6 · you get 44 482.12 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 29 331.49 ₴The Phoenix Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 29 930.09 ₴listings 8 · you get 29 331.49 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 20 352.49 ₴
(you get 17 697.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 7 199.49 ₴The Phoenix Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 8 279.41 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 10 034.43 ₴sell now to a buy order: 8 406.41 ₴
(you get 7 309.92 ₴)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 2 878.62 ₴The Phoenix Collectionsells 21 a weekmonth average 3 310.42 ₴, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 759.41 ₴
(you get 2 399.48 ₴)) · buy orders: 1821
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 33 429.52 ₴sell now to a buy order: 33 057.98 ₴
(you get 28 746.07 ₴)) · buy orders: 1384
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3711 194.93 → 26 476.00 ₴
AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.165 068.49 → 10 947.94 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−6 006.93 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−5 223.38 ₴historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401733
· The Revolver Case Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 759.78₴
· invest 15 952.72₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AUG | Chameleon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3401734
· The CS20 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit −4 759.78₴
· invest 15 952.72₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AUG | Chameleon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3401721
· The Phoenix Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 070.48₴
· invest 16 263.42₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3401747
· The Vanguard Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 090.96₴
· invest 16 283.90₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AUG | Chameleon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006989 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3401748
· The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −5 090.96₴
· invest 16 283.90₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AUG | Chameleon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006989 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3401751
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 228.03₴
· invest 16 420.96₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AUG | Chameleon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3401752
· The CS20 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −5 228.03₴
· invest 16 420.96₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AUG | Chameleon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006434 instead of 0.006756
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.