Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401750 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(1% of this wear's listings)
19 833.56 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0197
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.014131wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
7 185.72 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0110
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.011040wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs27 019.28 ₽
−12 769.14
(−47.3%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 21.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(1% of this wear's listings)
4 958.39 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0213
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.016379wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×4
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
28 742.88 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0127
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.012796wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs33 701.27 ₽
−22 849.37
(−67.8%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(1% of this wear's listings)
9 916.78 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0207
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.015555wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×3
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
21 557.16 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0121
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.012152wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs31 473.94 ₽
−19 489.29
(−61.9%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(1% of this wear's listings)
14 875.17 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0202
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.014809wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×2
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
14 371.44 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.011569wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 19 305.66 ₽sells 10 a weeknow 22 201.51 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 26 757.59 ₽sell now to a buy order: 21 125.60 ₽
(you get 18 370.08 ₽)) · buy orders: 576
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 807.52 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 718.78 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 17 709.08 ₽listings: 118
on CS.Money: ~ 19 720.67 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 19 593.49 ₽listings: 65
month average 19 652.34 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 16 096.30 ₽
(you get 13 996.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 322
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 354.87 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 739.99 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 13 189.24 ₽listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 14 761.33 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 920.14 ₽listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 001.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 996.27 ₽
(you get 13 909.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 165
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 248.75 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 106.09 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 17 063.51 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 16 135.39 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 321.90 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 244.23 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 644.33 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 057.38 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 14 542.38 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 13 103.11 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 722.69 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 31 665.02 ₽sell now to a buy order: 27 598.54 ₽
(you get 23 998.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 167
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 394.26 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 327.04 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 25 524.42 ₽listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 27 664.00 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 28 381.22 ₽listings: 21
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 12 005.64 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 12 250.66 ₽listings 3 · you get 12 005.64 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 12 250.66 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 272.29 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 084.94 ₽
(you get 12 247.77 ₽)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 17 189.08 ₽
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 938.05 ₽sell now to a buy order: 43 371.33 ₽
(you get 37 714.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 44Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 70 235.03 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 80 696.27 ₽listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 20 854.28 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 21 279.88 ₽listings 4 · you get 20 854.28 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 14 808.56 ₽
(you get 12 877.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 57not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 21 279.88 ₽listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 572.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 568.58 ₽
(you get 11 798.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 85Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 12 834.26 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 12 314.18 ₽
(you get 10 707.98 ₽)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 23 059.64 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 16 096.30 ₽
(you get 13 996.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 104Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 15 337.68 ₽sells 13 a weeknow 17 638.33 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 19 273.65 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 208.67 ₽
(you get 13 224.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 839.86 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 175.29 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 14 046.52 ₽listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 15 127.58 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 248.81 ₽listings: 45
month average 21 121.26 ₽, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 15 064.48 ₽
(you get 13 099.54 ₽)) · buy orders: 365
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 470.01 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 866.24 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 13 953.15 ₽listings: 30
on CS.Money: ~ 15 045.48 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 158.41 ₽listings: 53
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 968.78 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 11 041.26 ₽The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 12 697.45 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 11 178.73 ₽
(you get 9 720.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 15 213.71 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 17 633.42 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 376.23 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 32 198.33 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 31 706.50 ₽
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 10 556.04 ₽
(you get 9 179.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 108Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 500.12 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 263.72 ₽
(you get 10 664.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 99Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 12 280.44 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 42 124.14 ₽
(you get 36 629.68 ₽)) · buy orders: 70not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 631.18 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 400.14 ₽
(you get 9 043.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 109not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 30 281.73 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 688.77 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 600.91 ₽
(you get 5 739.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 63not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 11 354.46 ₽
(you get 9 873.44 ₽)) · buy orders: 46not listed on Market.CSGO right now
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 504.69 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 339.41 ₽
(you get 10 729.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 33not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knifenet 6 199.63 ₽The Wildfire Collectionsells 18 a weeknow 7 129.58 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 8 187.93 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 840.61 ₽
(you get 5 948.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 1134
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 109.97 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 699.53 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 5 719.23 ₽listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 6 638.49 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 5 692.67 ₽listings: 56
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3719 833.56 → 46 906.37 ₽
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.167 185.72 → 15 521.16 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−14 309.65 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−13 014.49 ₽historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
15 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401723
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −12 704.73₽
· invest 29 092.30₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401724
· The CS20 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −12 704.73₽
· invest 29 092.30₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401737
· The Shattered Web Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −12 723.44₽
· invest 28 542.43₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401738
· The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −12 723.44₽
· invest 28 542.43₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401749
· The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −12 769.14₽
· invest 27 019.28₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3401683
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 038.59₽
· invest 32 050.78₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401684
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −13 038.59₽
· invest 32 050.78₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401745
· The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 335.25₽
· invest 31 533.48₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401746
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −13 335.25₽
· invest 31 533.48₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401703
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 365.11₽
· invest 33 517.58₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401704
· The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −13 365.11₽
· invest 33 517.58₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401743
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 804.78₽
· invest 32 003.01₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401744
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −13 804.78₽
· invest 32 003.01₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401453
· The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −13 886.60₽
· invest 33 716.63₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401454
· The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 886.60₽
· invest 33 716.63₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.