The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +115 735.88₸

Invest 191 995.86₸

Average return 307 731.74₸

ROI +60.3%

Chance of profit 43%

With float: invest at least 445 785.78 ₸, profit at most −138 053.98 ₸

float premium: at least 251 081 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −92 765.86 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

40 411.95 ₸

at 40 411.95

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸ +191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

151 583.91 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 191 995.86 ₸ +115 735.88 (+60.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 699 ₸

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

80 823.91 ₸

at 40 411.95

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸ +191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

113 687.93 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 194 511.84 ₸ +49 951.93 (+25.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

121 235.86 ₸

at 40 411.95

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸ +191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

75 791.95 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 197 027.81 ₸ −15 832.02 (−8.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

161 647.81 ₸

at 40 411.95

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸ +191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

37 895.98 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 199 543.79 ₸ −81 616.03 (−40.9%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 353.24 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

470 914.77 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 509.23 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 277.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

168 708.87 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338 625.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274 416.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 638.14 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510 136.65 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

862 919.01 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135 383.40 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 289.54 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 922.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 596.14 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

429 614.75 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

288 276.90 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

562 143.39 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 445 105.40 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

894 087.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

224 937.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 660.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

227 777.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 469.43 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 225.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

93 825.35 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

118 784.39 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

129 174.70 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

71 409.51 ₸ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

125 842.25 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 299.74 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 788.96 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 617.14 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 325.44 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 096.23 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 5 only The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +99 007.35 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +113 571.40 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401999 · The Prisma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 126 409.62₸ · invest 193 342.85₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3402000 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 126 409.62₸ · invest 193 342.85₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3402029 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 126 403.18₸ · invest 212 709.45₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3402030 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 126 403.18₸ · invest 212 709.45₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401979 · The Gamma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 122 735.34₸ · invest 218 190.64₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401980 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 122 735.34₸ · invest 218 190.64₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401971 · The Fever Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 121 813.67₸ · invest 191 341.01₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401972 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 121 813.67₸ · invest 191 341.01₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401967 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 120 695.64₸ · invest 203 654.37₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401968 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 120 695.64₸ · invest 203 654.37₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401997 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 116 098.10₸ · invest 203 654.37₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401998 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 116 098.10₸ · invest 203 654.37₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3402013 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 115 992.87₸ · invest 200 561.94₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3402014 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 115 992.87₸ · invest 200 561.94₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3402026 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 115 735.90₸ · invest 191 995.86₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3401895 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 114 220.50₸ · invest 220 292.64₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3401896 · The Chroma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 114 220.50₸ · invest 220 292.64₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build