The Dead Hand Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −336 341.72₸

Invest at least 526 969.28₸

Average return 190 627.56₸

ROI −63.8%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest at least 526 969.28 ₸, profit at most −336 341.72 ₸

float premium: at least 288 496 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +102 013.11 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 19.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −147 084.71 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

91 835.44 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

138 944.92 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 230 780.36 ₸ −40 152.80 (−17.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 8.3% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

367 341.75 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

34 736.23 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0160

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 402 077.98 ₸ +102 013.11 (+25.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 12.0% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 673 ₸

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

275 506.31 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

69 472.46 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0148

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 344 978.78 ₸ +54 624.46 (+15.8%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 15.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 751 ₸

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

183 670.88 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0107

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

104 208.69 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0138

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 287 879.57 ₸ +7 235.85 (+2.5%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 63%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 19%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

126 718.85 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

136 781.46 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

149 015.35 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

131 644.51 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 440.21 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 985.26 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231 063.41 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192 953.33 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 765.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

56 420.68 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

746 701.16 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593 289.36 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 131.71 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.91%

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

277 476.32 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

232 090.34 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 275.00 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

760 540.29 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

746 959.24 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

669 094.37 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

588 060.63 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357 763.14 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 014 526.37 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

565 004.51 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

628 803.83 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 543.30 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

481 865.68 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

407 432.30 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 522.39 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550 423.80 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 881 255.32 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850 963.11 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −44 208.21 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −41 511.71 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402127 · The Huntsman Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit −40 152.79₸ · invest 230 780.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

More

How to build