Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402829 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0088
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
448.02 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0595
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008813f′ (normalized) 0.014688wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0088
(5% of this wear's listings)
264.55 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0088
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008813f′ (normalized) 0.008813wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs712.57 $
−322.94
(−45.3%)
!
The gain is understated:20 outcomes have no price, that is 23.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0119
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
112.00 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0629
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011923f′ (normalized) 0.019872wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0119
(10% of this wear's listings)
1 058.20 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0119
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011923f′ (normalized) 0.011923wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs1 170.20 $
−1 013.71
(−86.6%)
!
The gain is understated:20 outcomes have no price, that is 24.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0106
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
224.01 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0615
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010668f′ (normalized) 0.017780wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0106
(10% of this wear's listings)
793.65 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0106
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010668f′ (normalized) 0.010668wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs1 017.66 $
−783.45
(−77.0%)
!
The gain is understated:20 outcomes have no price, that is 24.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
336.01 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0604
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.016087wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(10% of this wear's listings)
529.10 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)net 146.61 $The Shadow Collectionsells 9 a weeknow 168.60 $ — cheaper than the month average 184.97 $sell now to a buy order: 151.09 $
(you get 131.38 $)) · buy orders: 634
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New)net 107.28 $The Shadow Collectionsells 2 a weekmonth average 123.37 $, sold 18 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averageno buy orders
Steam★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)net 314.30 $sells 8 a weeknow 361.45 $ — cheaper than the month average 452.45 $sell now to a buy order: 356.31 $
(you get 309.84 $)) · buy orders: 1810
month average 402.11 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 309.42 $
(you get 269.06 $)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 294.21 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 300.21 $listings 3 · you get 294.21 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 095.62 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 153.29 $listings 3 · you get 1 095.62 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 004.84 $
(you get 873.77 $)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 118.84 $sells 12 a weeknow 136.66 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.78 $sell now to a buy order: 127.62 $
(you get 110.98 $)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 104.37 $sells 7 a weeknow 120.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 147.03 $sell now to a buy order: 125.72 $
(you get 109.32 $)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 1 433.82 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 463.08 $listings 187 · you get 1 433.82 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 1 005.58 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 1 156.41 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 696.65 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 710.87 $listings 6 · you get 696.65 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 681.12 $
(you get 592.28 $)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 422.96 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 452.00 $listings 19 · you get 1 422.96 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 903.70 $
(you get 1 655.39 $)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 2 695.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 750.00 $listings 3 · you get 2 695.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 767.25 $
(you get 667.17 $)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 819.35 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 942.25 $sell now to a buy order: 929.85 $
(you get 808.57 $)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 448.95 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 458.11 $listings 6 · you get 448.95 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 457.62 $
(you get 397.93 $)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 685.02 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 699.00 $listings 3 · you get 685.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 5 708.47 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 5 824.97 $listings 3 · you get 5 708.47 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 3 416.25 $
(you get 2 970.66 $)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 979.02 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 999.00 $listings 6 · you get 979.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 645.57 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 658.74 $listings 8 · you get 645.57 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 447.94 $
(you get 389.52 $)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 158.46 $sells 7 a weeknow 182.22 $ — cheaper than the month average 220.85 $sell now to a buy order: 185.02 $
(you get 160.89 $)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 63.36 $sells 21 a weekmonth average 72.86 $, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 60.73 $
(you get 52.81 $)) · buy orders: 1821
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 735.76 $sell now to a buy order: 727.58 $
(you get 632.68 $)) · buy orders: 1384
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) × 413% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37448.02 → 1 059.56 $
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) × 113% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16264.55 → 571.43 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Vanguard Collection + The Shadow Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−344.28 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−327.69 $historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402830
· The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −322.94$
· invest 712.57$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.