The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −534.03$

Invest at least 1 083.84$

Average return 549.81$

ROI −49.3%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 1 083.84 $, profit at most −534.03 $

float premium: at least 579 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −177 $

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −199.19 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

376.75 $

at 94.19

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 125.44 $ +31.25 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

89.27 $

at 89.27

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 512.80 $ +423.53 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0159

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 466.02 $ +83.79 (+18.0%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 43%
Losing outcome 49%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

614.52 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153.07 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

230.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

784.01 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222.79 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.52 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

724.75 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 753.89 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

417.46 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643.48 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 093.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

852.21 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 546.66 $ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507.61 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

975.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 266.74 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 690.53 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186.32 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

599.33 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

380.14 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357.29 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

207.26 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

262.39 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

285.34 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

157.74 $ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

277.98 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155.29 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132.07 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83.09 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155.35 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

88.57 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +49.45 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +76.64 $ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402715 · The Snakebite Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 84.59$ · invest 491.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −173 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402716 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 84.59$ · invest 491.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −173 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402839 · The Snakebite Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 84.35$ · invest 484.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −186 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402840 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 84.35$ · invest 484.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −186 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402857 · The Wildfire Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 83.79$ · invest 466.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −177 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3401945 · The Snakebite Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 80.44$ · invest 528.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −201 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.005535 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3401946 · The Chroma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 80.44$ · invest 528.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −201 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.005535 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402611 · The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 80.28$ · invest 576.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −223 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402613 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 80.28$ · invest 576.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −223 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402853 · The Spectrum Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 76.75$ · invest 522.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −202 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402854 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 76.75$ · invest 522.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −202 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402395 · The Snakebite Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 76.38$ · invest 546.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −209 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 3402396 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 76.38$ · invest 546.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −209 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build