The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −453 264.14₸

Invest at least 530 127.62₸

Average return 76 863.54₸

ROI −85.5%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 530 127.62 ₸, profit at most −453 264.14 ₸

float premium: at least 303 352 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −164 257.42 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

161 647.81 ₸

at 40 411.95

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸ +191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0137

Steam

×1

P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

68 440.08 ₸

at 68 440.08

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) — 141 958.34 ₸ +73 518.26 ₸ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 230 087.89 ₸ −153 224.35 (−66.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

80 823.91 ₸

at 40 411.95

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸ +191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0142

Steam

×3

P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

205 320.23 ₸

at 68 440.08

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) — 141 958.34 ₸ +73 518.26 ₸ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0130

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 286 144.14 ₸ −164 873.13 (−57.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

121 235.86 ₸

at 40 411.95

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸ +191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0139

Steam

×2

P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

136 880.16 ₸

at 68 440.08

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) — 141 958.34 ₸ +73 518.26 ₸ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0127

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 258 116.01 ₸ −159 048.77 (−61.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 3%
Losing outcome 78%
Above the Steam cap 18%

Order

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

93 825.35 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

118 784.39 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

129 174.70 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

71 409.51 ₸ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

125 842.25 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 299.74 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 788.96 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 617.14 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 325.44 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 096.23 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

830 858.59 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

814 812.97 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

588 087.23 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

430 003.87 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

248 542.07 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

857 871.37 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

152 096.92 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

90 561.06 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

76 069.83 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

57 884.36 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

33 059.57 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

106 427.78 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

62 286.15 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

42 114.65 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

36 932.77 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

33 073.12 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

19 111.50 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 077.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

132 779.81 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

78 703.52 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

49 810.60 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

51 684.15 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

26 971.33 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 790.24 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

152 592.67 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

98 981.09 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

67 433.62 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

58 305.93 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

28 708.34 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130 805.19 ₸ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 4 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 161 647.81 → 382 297.07 ₸

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 68 440.08 → 147 830.57 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −162 129.78 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −155 022.83 ₸ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402429 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −140 400.55₸ · invest 228 254.54₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.008339 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3402430 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −140 400.55₸ · invest 228 254.54₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.008339 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3401953 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −148 915.39₸ · invest 230 356.54₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005045 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3401954 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −148 915.39₸ · invest 230 356.54₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005045 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3402617 · The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −148 988.92₸ · invest 252 208.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3402618 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −148 988.92₸ · invest 252 208.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3402877 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −150 583.77₸ · invest 227 447.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New)
Craft 3402878 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −150 583.77₸ · invest 227 447.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New)
Craft 3402399 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −150 751.72₸ · invest 238 605.72₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3402400 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −150 751.72₸ · invest 238 605.72₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3402868 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −153 224.37₸ · invest 230 087.89₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3401519 · The Wildfire Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −153 684.51₸ · invest 239 725.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009293 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3401520 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −153 684.51₸ · invest 239 725.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009293 instead of 0.008799

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build