StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404257 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
12 185.88 ₽
at 3 046.47
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 6 900.00 ₽+3 853.53 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 14 019.96 ₽ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs27 886.87 ₽
−13 349.47
(−47.9%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
9 139.41 ₽
at 3 046.47
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 6 900.00 ₽+3 853.53 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 14 019.96 ₽ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs40 541.39 ₽
−18 542.57
(−45.7%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
6 092.94 ₽
at 3 046.47
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 6 900.00 ₽+3 853.53 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 14 019.96 ₽ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs53 195.91 ₽
−23 735.68
(−44.6%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4999
3 046.47 ₽
at 3 046.47
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 6 900.00 ₽+3 853.53 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy0.4500–0.6999
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 13 619.48 ₽ versus 11 646.45 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 619.48 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 446.02 ₽
(you get 11 692.19 ₽)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 409.60 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 800.00 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 15 504.30 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 14 120.58 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 799.66 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 795.20 ₽
(you get 7 648.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 75Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 9 098.22 ₽ versus 7 740.56 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 098.22 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 413.87 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 225.74 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 6 691.62 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 8 259.68 ₽listings: 5
BS costs more than FT: 14 071.43 ₽ versus 13 639.57 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 071.43 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 066.91 ₽
(you get 12 232.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 6 749.92 ₽ versus 5 599.70 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 749.92 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 747.79 ₽
(you get 5 867.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 653.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 198.77 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 6 037.19 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 6 331.80 ₽listings: 10
BS costs more than WW: 5 538.36 ₽ versus 5 511.89 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 538.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 465.46 ₽
(you get 4 752.57 ₽)) · buy orders: 75
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 075.81 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 662.08 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 6 354.34 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 6 450.13 ₽listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 581.63 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 14 065.84 ₽listings: 4Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 8 045.51 ₽ versus 6 345.47 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 045.51 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 025.18 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 8 799.55 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 8 041.53 ₽listings: 5Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 6 048.74 ₽ versus 4 151.36 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 048.74 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 231.96 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 929.79 · lots 4
on Lis-Skins: from 6 161.15 ₽listings: 6
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 193.66 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 272.26 ₽
(you get 6 323.70 ₽)) · buy orders: 103Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 8 614.66 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 8 834.42 ₽listings: 6
BS costs more than FT: 7 723.22 ₽ versus 6 900.59 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 723.22 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 621.91 ₽
(you get 6 627.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 354.69 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 12 450.32 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 5 580.78 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 14 500.30 ₽sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 16 675.34 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 778.36 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 17 300.84 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 20 254.36 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 224.50 ₽listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Breakout Collectionno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 113 633.25 ₽sell now to a buy order: 112 136.09 ₽
(you get 97 509.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 323
sell on Market.CSGO: 118 560.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 130 000.00 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 114 625.26 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 94 379.76 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 109 039.66 ₽listings: 8
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 56 234.61 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 57 382.26 ₽listings 10 · you get 56 234.61 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 56 066.69 ₽
(you get 48 753.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 183Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 57 382.26 ₽listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 59 686.86 ₽listings: 7
BS costs more than FT: 54 358.32 ₽ versus 52 214.56 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 54 358.32 ₽sell now to a buy order: 54 285.12 ₽
(you get 47 204.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 244
sell on Market.CSGO: 43 037.28 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 47 190.00 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 39 442.96 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 46 680.34 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 42 170.16 ₽listings: 14
BS costs more than FT: 72 705.03 ₽ versus 65 345.86 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 72 705.03 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 59 786.16 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 65 555.00 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 61 418.32 ₽listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 66 945.97 ₽listings: 7
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 32 710.68 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 279.10 ₽
(you get 28 068.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 351Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 37 369.39 ₽listings: 8
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 32 311.69 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 128.61 ₽
(you get 27 937.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 133Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 36 626.41 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 34 428.07 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 49 504.07 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 50 514.36 ₽listings 5 · you get 49 504.07 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 51 081.05 ₽ versus 50 514.36 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 53 240.69 ₽
(you get 46 296.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 176
sell on Market.CSGO: 66 192.85 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 72 579.89 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 51 081.05 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 49 135.46 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 38 346.74 ₽sell now to a buy order: 37 851.80 ₽
(you get 32 914.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 140
sell on Market.CSGO: 40 793.32 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 44 729.52 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 37 833.04 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 38 927.79 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 41 014.24 ₽listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 33 189.66 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 33 867.01 ₽listings 3 · you get 33 189.66 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 34 780.69 ₽
(you get 30 244.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 160
sell on Market.CSGO: 46 164.71 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 50 619.21 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 33 867.01 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 36 776.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 37 225.30 ₽listings: 9
BS costs more than FT: 48 336.06 ₽ versus 41 867.15 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48 336.06 ₽no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 32 842.30 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 34 717.85 ₽listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 33 123.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 769.33 ₽
(you get 28 495.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 225
sell on Market.CSGO: 38 296.76 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 41 992.07 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 36 582.14 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 35 799.72 ₽listings: 14
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 81 918.28 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 83 590.09 ₽listings 16 · you get 81 918.28 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 112 583.06 ₽
(you get 97 898.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 648
sell on Market.CSGO: 86 639.20 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 94 999.13 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 83 590.09 ₽listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 98 352.23 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 84 672.76 ₽listings: 32
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.2812 185.88 → 15 614.99 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.3915 700.99 → 21 786.69 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.999999900
outcomes come out up to 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000, 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−15 546.59 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−13 727.23 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
7 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3404565
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 203.07₽
· invest 23 905.42₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404573
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −13 203.07₽
· invest 23 905.42₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404262
· The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 349.47₽
· invest 27 886.87₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3404566
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −13 598.14₽
· invest 23 905.42₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479166 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404574
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −13 598.14₽
· invest 23 905.42₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479166 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404761
· The Shadow Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −14 270.50₽
· invest 20 898.70₽
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3404766
· The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −14 270.50₽
· invest 20 898.70₽
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499999 instead of 0.499999
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.