The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −153 294.48₸

Invest 337 831.84₸

Average return 184 537.35₸

ROI −45.4%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest 337 831.84 ₸, profit −153 294.48 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −113 131.61 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −222 163.21 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4999

264 903.58 ₸

at 88 301.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 93 282.42 ₸ +4 981.22 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

72 149.00 ₸

at 36 074.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) — 50 416.18 ₸ +14 341.68 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.4500–0.6499

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 337 052.58 ₸ −152 515.23 (−45.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 11%
Losing outcome 82%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.259999

639 064.91 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

322 713.54 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

293 650.79 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

367 500.24 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

183 962.42 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

181 718.53 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

284 088.99 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

215 659.20 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

190 465.53 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

235 457.72 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

186 283.30 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

470 104.42 ₸ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

696 763.57 ₸ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

271 489.20 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

368 094.29 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

255 869.37 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

231 515.24 ₸ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

131 316.69 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

44 487.95 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.649999

51 934.03 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

50 119.07 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

33 311.58 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

33 950.91 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

52 020.75 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

22 645.47 ₸ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

30 427.35 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

27 045.01 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

21 203.83 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

21 462.14 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

91 684.94 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

33 283.40 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

44 569.83 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

34 423.32 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

28 980.37 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

30 195.42 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

130 473.77 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.649999

45 912.66 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

51 992.51 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

31 242.37 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

20 764.88 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 264 903.58 → 267 552.62 ₸

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×0.97 72 149.00 → 70 280.34 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.999999900

outcomes come out up to 0.079999, 0.259999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.799999, 0.000000, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.649999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.649999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −171 660.37 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −155 525.44 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3404393 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −152 215.03₸ · invest 337 052.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488839 instead of 0.499999; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.877231 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3404394 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −152 412.16₸ · invest 337 052.58₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482142 instead of 0.499999; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.803571 instead of 0.999999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build