StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3404484 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
178.92 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.06 $+11.00 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 3 · good ≈ 3Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 174.17 $ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs421.59 $
−243.07
(−57.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
119.28 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.06 $+11.00 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 3 · good ≈ 3Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 174.17 $ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs557.00 $
−285.26
(−51.2%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Battle-Scarred
any lot
59.64 $
at 59.64
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+153.14 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.06 $+11.00 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 3 · good ≈ 3Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 174.17 $ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs692.41 $
−327.46
(−47.3%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
47.61 $
at 47.61
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) — 212.78 $+165.17 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 40.47 $ (float 0.2516) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Battle-Scarred
any lot
780.21 $
at 195.05
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 206.06 $+11.00 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.5000on the market 3 · good ≈ 3Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 8 · from 174.17 $ (float 0.4607) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 268.49 $sell now to a buy order: 264.96 $
(you get 230.40 $)) · buy orders: 52Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 359.00 $listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.28 $sell now to a buy order: 186.78 $
(you get 162.41 $)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 205.59 $ to your card
cheapest lot 225.43 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 214.88 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 90.90 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 104.53 $sell now to a buy order: 103.16 $
(you get 89.71 $)) · buy orders: 90
sell on Market.CSGO: 231.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 254.02 · lots 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 86.30 $ versus 85.12 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 86.30 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 104.48 $ to your card
cheapest lot 114.56 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 106.56 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 167.42 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 212.41 $ versus 192.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 212.41 $sell now to a buy order: 212.35 $
(you get 184.65 $)) · buy orders: 109Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 180.21 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 193.76 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 55.87 $
(you get 48.59 $)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 101.30 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 134.98 $ versus 116.50 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 134.98 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 340.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 182.20 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 75.01 $
(you get 65.22 $)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.79 $sell now to a buy order: 59.00 $
(you get 51.30 $)) · buy orders: 93not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 48.75 $ versus 45.36 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48.75 $sell now to a buy order: 48.16 $
(you get 41.88 $)) · buy orders: 54Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 95.02 $ versus 65.88 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 95.02 $sell now to a buy order: 93.72 $
(you get 81.50 $)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 90.52 $ to your card
cheapest lot 99.26 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 91.00 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 79.26 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.15 $sell now to a buy order: 89.75 $
(you get 78.04 $)) · buy orders: 187
sell on Market.CSGO: 119.49 $ to your card
cheapest lot 131.02 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 116.65 $listings: 35
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Breakout Collectionno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 411.67 $sell now to a buy order: 1 393.07 $
(you get 1 211.36 $)) · buy orders: 323
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 472.87 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 614.99 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 1 423.99 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 1 172.48 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 354.60 $listings: 8
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 698.60 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 712.86 $listings 10 · you get 698.60 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 696.52 $
(you get 605.67 $)) · buy orders: 183Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 712.86 $listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 741.49 $listings: 7
BS costs more than FT: 675.29 $ versus 648.66 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 675.29 $sell now to a buy order: 674.38 $
(you get 586.42 $)) · buy orders: 244
sell on Market.CSGO: 534.65 $ to your card
cheapest lot 586.24 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 490.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 579.91 $
on Lis-Skins: from 523.88 $listings: 14
BS costs more than FT: 903.21 $ versus 811.79 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 903.21 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 742.72 $ to your card
cheapest lot 814.39 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 763.00 $listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 831.67 $listings: 7
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 406.36 $sell now to a buy order: 401.00 $
(you get 348.70 $)) · buy orders: 351Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 464.24 $listings: 8
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 401.41 $sell now to a buy order: 399.13 $
(you get 347.07 $)) · buy orders: 133Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 455.01 $
on Lis-Skins: from 427.70 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 614.99 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 627.54 $listings 5 · you get 614.99 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 634.58 $ versus 627.54 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 661.41 $
(you get 575.14 $)) · buy orders: 176
sell on Market.CSGO: 822.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 901.66 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 634.58 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 610.41 $listings: 11
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 476.38 $sell now to a buy order: 470.23 $
(you get 408.90 $)) · buy orders: 140
sell on Market.CSGO: 506.78 $ to your card
cheapest lot 555.67 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 470.00 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 483.60 $
on Lis-Skins: from 509.52 $listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 412.32 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 420.73 $listings 3 · you get 412.32 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 432.08 $
(you get 375.72 $)) · buy orders: 160
sell on Market.CSGO: 573.50 $ to your card
cheapest lot 628.84 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 420.73 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 456.88 $
on Lis-Skins: from 462.45 $listings: 9
BS costs more than FT: 600.48 $ versus 520.12 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 600.48 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 408.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 431.30 $listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 411.49 $sell now to a buy order: 407.09 $
(you get 353.99 $)) · buy orders: 225
sell on Market.CSGO: 475.76 $ to your card
cheapest lot 521.67 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 454.46 $
on Lis-Skins: from 444.74 $listings: 14
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 1 017.67 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 038.44 $listings 16 · you get 1 017.67 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 398.62 $
(you get 1 216.19 $)) · buy orders: 648
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 076.32 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 180.17 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 1 038.44 $listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 1 221.83 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 051.89 $listings: 32
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0247.61 → 48.58 $
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.04178.92 → 186.94 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.39195.05 → 270.66 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.918750000
outcomes come out up to 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−263.96 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−248.16 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3404492
· The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −243.07$
· invest 421.59$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405928
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −246.15$
· invest 372.12$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.369481 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.631310 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3405939
· The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −246.15$
· invest 372.12$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.369481 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.631310 instead of 0.640000
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.