The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −14 696.02₴

Invest 20 118.41₴

Average return 5 422.40₴

ROI −73.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 44 463.21 ₴, profit at most −39 040.81 ₴

float premium: at least 23 945 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −14 771.09 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

3 499.88 ₴

at 3 499.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 14 769.32 ₴ +11 269.43 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0100–0.0193

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1722

10 074.37 ₴

at 3 358.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) — 4 910.09 ₴ +1 551.97 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1722

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

6 544.16 ₴

at 6 544.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) — 9 159.22 ₴ +2 615.06 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0777

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 118.41 ₴ −14 696.02 (−73.0%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 94%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

13 676.79 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

12 867.18 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 043.48 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 112.24 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

9 820.45 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 502.81 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 736.78 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 726.76 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 877.04 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 729.56 ₴ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 665.95 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

6 765.99 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 955.37 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

10 298.18 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 651.53 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 567.00 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

9 373.65 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 160.71 ₴ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 881.36 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 254.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 581.66 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 136.82 ₴ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 976.19 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 499.78 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

9 412.29 ₴ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 499.88 → 7 559.75 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 10 074.37 → 22 768.08 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 544.16 → 14 135.38 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −15 601.41 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −14 831.17 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3406508 · The Gamma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 511.75₴ · invest 22 826.29₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406516 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −14 511.75₴ · invest 22 826.29₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406529 · The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 547.00₴ · invest 20 061.37₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406533 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −14 547.00₴ · invest 20 061.37₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406013 · The Falchion Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −14 596.38₴ · invest 20 674.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3406017 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 596.38₴ · invest 20 674.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3406473 · The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −14 673.22₴ · invest 20 180.87₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406477 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −14 673.22₴ · invest 20 180.87₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3404609 · The Falchion Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −14 696.02₴ · invest 20 118.41₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3406587 · The Prisma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 061.62₴ · invest 21 418.64₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406593 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −15 061.62₴ · invest 21 418.64₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406462 · The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 129.46₴ · invest 20 931.31₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174124 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078391 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406468 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −15 129.46₴ · invest 20 931.31₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174124 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078391 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406199 · The Falchion Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −15 586.88₴ · invest 22 177.36₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173632 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078219 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3406207 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 586.88₴ · invest 22 177.36₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173632 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078219 instead of 0.077745

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build