The Spectrum Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3406333 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.6999
9 916.77 ₽
at 9 916.77
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 26 202.26 ₽+16 285.49 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) — 6 107.91 ₽+62.98 ₽ per item · on the market 99 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.999999f′ (normalized) 0.999999wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 65 · good ≈ 65
on the market with this float, usually ~65,
new listings per day: ~10.8, cheapest usually 6 044.93 ₽
Set · 5 pcs34 096.49 ₽
−16 881.21
(−49.5%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.6999
19 833.54 ₽
at 9 916.77
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 26 202.26 ₽+16 285.49 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 121 414.89 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 123 892.75 ₽listings 5 · you get 121 414.89 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 155 356.96 ₽ versus 123 892.75 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 160 454.72 ₽
(you get 139 525.84 ₽)) · buy orders: 65
BS costs more than WW: 67 147.87 ₽ versus 65 451.49 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67 147.87 ₽sell now to a buy order: 65 911.73 ₽
(you get 57 314.54 ₽)) · buy orders: 164
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)net 39 107.82 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 41 166.13 ₽listings 6 · you get 39 107.82 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 47 407.33 ₽ versus 41 166.13 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 49 064.78 ₽
(you get 42 665.02 ₽)) · buy orders: 217
MW costs more than FN: 33 161.71 ₽ versus 23 349.65 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 33 161.71 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 724.27 ₽
(you get 28 455.88 ₽)) · buy orders: 160
BS costs more than FT: 8 097.72 ₽ versus 7 910.48 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 097.72 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 096.81 ₽
(you get 7 040.70 ₽)) · buy orders: 50
BS costs more than FT: 9 508.34 ₽ versus 8 911.76 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTnow 9 508.34 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 9 734.26 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 412.49 ₽
(you get 8 184.77 ₽)) · buy orders: 123
BS costs more than MW: 6 021.57 ₽ versus 5 923.19 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWnow 6 021.57 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 6 198.40 ₽no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 15 564.21 ₽ versus 9 249.90 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 15 564.21 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 493.43 ₽
(you get 13 472.54 ₽)) · buy orders: 121
Steam★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand (Battle-Scarred)net 3 825.29 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 4 026.63 ₽listings 4 · you get 3 825.29 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than FT: 6 524.65 ₽ versus 4 026.63 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTsell now to a buy order: 6 497.27 ₽
(you get 5 649.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than FT: 4 809.78 ₽ versus 3 816.22 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 809.78 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 746.34 ₽
(you get 4 127.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 103
MW costs more than FN: 31 321.07 ₽ versus 16 302.66 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 31 321.07 ₽sell now to a buy order: 30 907.56 ₽
(you get 26 876.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 157
BS costs more than WW: 6 484.25 ₽ versus 5 918.18 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 484.25 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 6 891.34 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 10 a weekmonth average 7 925.04 ₽, sold 33 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 7 703.91 ₽
(you get 6 699.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 183
BS costs more than WW: 7 242.80 ₽ versus 6 120.87 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 242.80 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 313.71 ₽
(you get 6 359.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 146
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 4 480.91 ₽The Dreams & Nightmares Collectionsells 4 a weekmonth average 5 153.05 ₽, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 5 193.31 ₽
(you get 4 515.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than FT: 5 414.11 ₽ versus 5 369.10 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 414.11 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 342.90 ₽
(you get 4 646.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 27
BS costs more than FT: 8 811.09 ₽ versus 8 163.81 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTmonth average 8 811.09 ₽, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 7 644.43 ₽
(you get 6 647.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 91
BS costs more than WW: 6 648.59 ₽ versus 3 692.24 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 648.59 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 647.77 ₽
(you get 5 780.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 60
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 161 559.93 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 164 857.08 ₽listings 5 · you get 161 559.93 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 184 264.62 ₽ versus 164 857.08 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 160 966.57 ₽
(you get 139 970.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 94 824.08 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 99 814.83 ₽listings 3 · you get 94 824.08 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 151 839.55 ₽ versus 99 814.83 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 98 753.16 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 103 950.70 ₽listings 5 · you get 98 753.16 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 104 000.00 ₽ versus 103 950.70 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 49 806.20 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 50 822.66 ₽listings 3 · you get 49 806.20 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 42 013.30 ₽
(you get 36 533.30 ₽)) · buy orders: 31
MW costs more than FN: 20 348.98 ₽ versus 16 102.18 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 20 348.98 ₽no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 15 054.82 ₽ versus 14 505.11 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 15 054.82 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 769.81 ₽
(you get 12 843.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than WW: 8 330.37 ₽ versus 6 489.30 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 330.37 ₽no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 9 158.48 ₽ versus 8 578.36 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 158.48 ₽no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 7 098.71 ₽ versus 5 512.25 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 098.71 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 095.64 ₽
(you get 6 170.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 86
month average 5 038.28 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 530.97 ₽
(you get 3 939.97 ₽)) · buy orders: 212
BS costs more than FT: 5 681.71 ₽ versus 5 423.32 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 681.71 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 606.94 ₽
(you get 4 875.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 105
MW costs more than FN: 32 599.29 ₽ versus 24 972.85 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 32 599.29 ₽no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 52 090.67 ₽ versus 18 000.00 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 52 090.67 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 18 107.66 ₽
(you get 15 745.79 ₽)) · buy orders: 143
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 13 822.43 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 14 549.93 ₽listings 4 · you get 13 822.43 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 18 142.08 ₽ versus 14 549.93 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 6 889.63 ₽ versus 5 709.10 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 889.63 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 798.26 ₽
(you get 5 911.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 32
BS costs more than WW: 5 858.39 ₽ versus 5 751.10 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWnow 5 858.39 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 5 874.03 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 968.03 ₽
(you get 4 320.02 ₽)) · buy orders: 158
BS costs more than WW: 8 675.49 ₽ versus 7 575.31 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 675.49 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 29 477.77 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 30 079.36 ₽listings 6 · you get 29 477.77 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 38 638.00 ₽ versus 30 079.36 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 28 970.09 ₽
(you get 25 191.38 ₽)) · buy orders: 180
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 17 782.74 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 18 718.68 ₽listings 3 · you get 17 782.74 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 41 117.91 ₽ versus 18 718.68 ₽ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 19 238.60 ₽
(you get 16 729.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 322
BS costs more than FT: 10 998.21 ₽ versus 6 758.16 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 998.21 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 994.90 ₽
(you get 9 560.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 51
month average 6 002.05 ₽, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 918.46 ₽
(you get 4 276.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 131
month average 6 252.17 ₽, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 6 078.24 ₽
(you get 5 285.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 96
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.109 916.77 → 10 915.39 ₽
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.0224 179.72 → 24 598.03 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−18 439.38 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−17 169.43 ₽historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
13 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3406339
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −16 881.21₽
· invest 34 096.49₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.999999
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.999999
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3405649
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −18 491.57₽
· invest 35 899.26₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3405658
· The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −18 491.57₽
· invest 35 899.26₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.