The Spectrum Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −53 413.99₴

Invest at least 68 067.59₴

Average return 14 653.60₴

ROI −78.5%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 68 067.59 ₴, profit at most −53 413.99 ₴

float premium: at least 36 196 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −20 604.70 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

18 795.97 ₴

at 6 265.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 18 792.11 ₴ +12 526.78 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0477

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

7 839.07 ₴

at 7 839.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 18 792.11 ₴ +10 953.04 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0024

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4 007.55 ₴

at 4 007.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) — 4 095.99 ₴ +88.44 ₴ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0928

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 30 642.59 ₴ −15 988.99 (−52.2%)

What you get 60 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

93 052.53 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

56 339.84 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

58 674.31 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

43 868.91 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

34 388.59 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

47 212.47 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

19 138.44 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

9 088.77 ₴ 2.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

8 187.32 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

5 844.55 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

5 840.94 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

8 181.13 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

6 611.32 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

4 842.00 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

4 388.18 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

4 186.16 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

14 095.77 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

10 159.98 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

8 212.62 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

6 217.17 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 246.17 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

5 726.53 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

16 978.10 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

10 565.64 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

7 420.48 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

6 773.67 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 317.06 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

5 531.22 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

69 930.47 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

37 440.98 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

47 187.74 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070833

38 986.27 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

30 494.62 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

38 852.52 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

13 179.56 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

4 885.49 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.054166

8 574.34 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070833

6 414.52 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

3 343.31 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

5 009.17 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

5 221.05 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

3 676.79 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

4 113.03 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070833

3 407.72 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

3 000.35 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

3 049.97 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

9 201.93 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

4 806.15 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

7 242.64 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070833

4 806.12 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

3 191.03 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

3 990.33 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

13 300.70 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

4 782.42 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.054166

8 050.75 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070833

7 055.74 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

4 013.01 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

4 454.14 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 18 795.97 → 42 478.90 ₴

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7 839.07 → 16 932.38 ₴

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 007.55 → 8 656.31 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.083333233

outcomes come out up to 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.039999, 0.083333, 0.070833, 0.083333, 0.041666, 0.006666, 0.039999, 0.054166, 0.070833, 0.083333, 0.041666, 0.006666, 0.039999, 0.083333, 0.070833, 0.083333, 0.041666, 0.006666, 0.039999, 0.083333, 0.070833, 0.083333, 0.041666, 0.006666, 0.039999, 0.054166, 0.070833, 0.083333, 0.041666

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16 972.38 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −16 231.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3406817 · The Spectrum Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −15 701.30₴ · invest 29 561.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077140 instead of 0.074298; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.006247 instead of 0.003760
Craft 3406820 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −15 701.30₴ · invest 29 561.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077140 instead of 0.074298; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.006247 instead of 0.003760
Craft 3406335 · The Spectrum Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −15 808.83₴ · invest 30 731.03₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076390 instead of 0.074298; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.003760
Craft 3406341 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −15 808.83₴ · invest 30 731.03₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076390 instead of 0.074298; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.003760
Craft 3406342 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −15 988.99₴ · invest 30 642.59₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3407376 · The Spectrum Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −16 183.88₴ · invest 32 769.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3407383 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −16 183.88₴ · invest 32 769.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3407665 · The Spectrum Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −16 256.80₴ · invest 32 842.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086303 instead of 0.074298; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.014265 instead of 0.003760
Craft 3407672 · The Gamma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −16 256.80₴ · invest 32 842.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086303 instead of 0.074298; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.014265 instead of 0.003760

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spectrum Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 60 outcomes

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How to build