The Prisma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 045.36$

Invest at least 1 259.74$

Average return 214.38$

ROI −83.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 259.74 $, profit at most −1 045.36 $

float premium: at least 676 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −369.29 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0843

231.81 $

at 77.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) — 127.28 $ +50.01 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0708

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

196.64 $

at 196.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) — 260.05 $ +63.42 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0843

144.03 $

at 144.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) — 201.59 $ +57.56 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0843

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 572.48 $ −358.10 (−62.5%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 11.4% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0843

154.54 $

at 77.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) — 127.28 $ +50.01 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0708

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

196.64 $

at 196.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) — 260.05 $ +63.42 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0843

288.06 $

at 144.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) — 201.59 $ +57.56 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0843

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 639.24 $ −452.50 (−70.8%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 15.3% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0843

77.27 $

at 77.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) — 127.28 $ +50.01 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0708

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

196.64 $

at 196.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) — 260.05 $ +63.42 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0843

432.10 $

at 144.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) — 201.59 $ +57.56 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0843

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 706.00 $ −546.91 (−77.5%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 19.2% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

196.64 $

at 196.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) — 260.05 $ +63.42 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0843

576.13 $

at 144.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) — 201.59 $ +57.56 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0843

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 772.77 $ −641.31 (−83.0%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 3%
Losing outcome 87%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

146.79 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

124.03 $ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

99.62 $ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

75.78 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

74.77 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

565.11 $ 2.86%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

333.22 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

329.94 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

278.64 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

187.15 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

262.28 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

318.72 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

197.53 $ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

159.66 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

112.49 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

63.15 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

148.51 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

1 073.78 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

633.89 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

531.94 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

434.77 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

399.90 $ 2.86%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

466.06 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

85.85 $ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

56.01 $ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

262.93 $ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

320.03 $ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

301.02 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

283.20 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

285.34 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

77.09 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

82.24 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

104.03 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

85.33 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

82.08 $ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

102.69 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

148.91 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) × 3 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 231.81 → 523.90 $

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) × 1 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 196.64 → 424.73 $

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 1 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 144.03 → 311.11 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −393.95 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −363.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build