StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3407844 · ways to build: 3StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5270
201.64 $
at 67.21
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) — 92.02 $+24.80 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.1500–0.3800
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5270
134.43 $
at 67.21
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) — 92.02 $+24.80 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.1500–0.3800
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.5270
67.21 $
at 67.21
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) — 92.02 $+24.80 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.1500–0.3800
BS costs more than MW: 89.42 $ versus 69.91 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.42 $sell now to a buy order: 89.40 $
(you get 77.74 $)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 72.29 $ versus 66.01 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the current 72.29 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 71.52 $
(you get 62.20 $)) · buy orders: 48
WW costs more than FT: 79.83 $ versus 45.65 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 79.83 $no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 115.83 $ versus 96.18 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 115.83 $sell now to a buy order: 115.79 $
(you get 100.69 $)) · buy orders: 107
WW costs more than FT: 54.35 $ versus 40.84 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 54.35 $sell now to a buy order: 54.35 $
(you get 47.26 $)) · buy orders: 66
WW costs more than MW: 68.94 $ versus 54.55 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 68.94 $sell now to a buy order: 68.90 $
(you get 59.92 $)) · buy orders: 76
BS costs more than WW: 57.26 $ versus 52.21 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 57.26 $sell now to a buy order: 57.23 $
(you get 49.76 $)) · buy orders: 73
WW costs more than MW: 52.71 $ versus 41.12 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 52.71 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 45.38 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 74.02 $ versus 52.19 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 74.02 $sell now to a buy order: 74.00 $
(you get 64.35 $)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 192.33 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 235.08 $ versus 221.18 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 235.08 $sell now to a buy order: 232.02 $
(you get 201.75 $)) · buy orders: 49
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 240.72 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 301.77 $ versus 276.82 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 301.77 $sell now to a buy order: 301.68 $
(you get 262.33 $)) · buy orders: 93
WW costs more than FT: 155.27 $ versus 138.34 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 155.27 $sell now to a buy order: 155.21 $
(you get 134.96 $)) · buy orders: 48
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 254.29 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 293.59 $ versus 292.43 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 293.59 $sell now to a buy order: 288.85 $
(you get 251.18 $)) · buy orders: 76
Steam★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 134.91 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 165.55 $ versus 155.14 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 165.55 $sell now to a buy order: 165.50 $
(you get 143.91 $)) · buy orders: 69
MW costs more than FN: 199.41 $ versus 181.04 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 199.41 $sell now to a buy order: 199.36 $
(you get 173.36 $)) · buy orders: 124
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 88.51 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the current 101.78 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
BS costs more than MW: 92.94 $ versus 68.30 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the current 92.94 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 136.58 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 171.20 $ versus 157.07 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 171.20 $sell now to a buy order: 171.15 $
(you get 148.82 $)) · buy orders: 108
WW costs more than FT: 87.56 $ versus 63.70 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 87.56 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 149.06 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 185.09 $ versus 171.42 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 185.09 $no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 85.72 $ versus 67.33 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.72 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 62.01 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 65.28 $listings 5 · you get 62.01 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 58.99 $
(you get 51.29 $)) · buy orders: 91
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 800.15 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 920.17 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 836.26 $
(you get 727.19 $)) · buy orders: 740
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 328.69 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 335.40 $listings 3 · you get 328.69 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 410.00 $ versus 335.40 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 357.02 $
(you get 310.45 $)) · buy orders: 99
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 203.15 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 265.83 $ versus 233.62 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 265.83 $no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 413.91 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 422.36 $listings 13 · you get 413.91 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 440.00 $ versus 422.36 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 477.91 $
(you get 415.58 $)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)net 214.20 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 247.39 $ versus 246.33 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 247.39 $sell now to a buy order: 244.13 $
(you get 212.29 $)) · buy orders: 89
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)net 208.97 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 285.41 $ versus 240.31 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 285.41 $sell now to a buy order: 281.07 $
(you get 244.41 $)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)net 151.24 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 236.64 $ versus 173.92 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 236.64 $sell now to a buy order: 236.56 $
(you get 205.70 $)) · buy orders: 79
Steam★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)net 222.23 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than FT: 281.67 $ versus 255.57 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 281.67 $sell now to a buy order: 277.96 $
(you get 241.70 $)) · buy orders: 56
Steam★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knifenet 74.65 $sells 7 a weeknow 85.85 $ — cheaper than the month average 102.32 $sell now to a buy order: 84.98 $
(you get 73.90 $)) · buy orders: 230
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 320.03 $sell now to a buy order: 315.10 $
(you get 274.00 $)) · buy orders: 328
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) × 314% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.26201.64 → 455.70 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 214% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.21216.48 → 478.42 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−314.52 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−299.93 $historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.