StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3408889 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Well-Worn
any lot
112.52 $
at 112.52
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 118.55 $+6.04 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 17 · good ≈ 17Lis-Skins: suitable 57 of 57 · from 88.58 $ (float 0.4487) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Battle-Scarred
any lot
351.97 $
at 117.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 118.55 $+1.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 100 of 100 · from 83.95 $ (float 0.5614) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
any lot
108.24 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 40 of 40 · from 89.65 $ (float 0.4851) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs572.72 $
−336.01
(−58.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈15≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Well-Worn
any lot
112.52 $
at 112.52
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 118.55 $+6.04 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 17 · good ≈ 17Lis-Skins: suitable 57 of 57 · from 88.58 $ (float 0.4487) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Battle-Scarred
any lot
234.64 $
at 117.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 118.55 $+1.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 100 of 100 · from 83.95 $ (float 0.5614) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
any lot
216.48 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 40 of 40 · from 89.65 $ (float 0.4851) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs563.64 $
−371.08
(−65.8%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Well-Worn
any lot
112.52 $
at 112.52
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 118.55 $+6.04 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 17 · good ≈ 17Lis-Skins: suitable 57 of 57 · from 88.58 $ (float 0.4487) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Battle-Scarred
any lot
117.32 $
at 117.32
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 118.55 $+1.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 15 · good ≈ 15Lis-Skins: suitable 100 of 100 · from 83.95 $ (float 0.5614) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
any lot
324.72 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 40 of 40 · from 89.65 $ (float 0.4851) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs554.56 $
−406.15
(−73.2%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈14≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress
Well-Worn
any lot
112.52 $
at 112.52
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested) — 118.55 $+6.04 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.450000wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 17 · good ≈ 17Lis-Skins: suitable 57 of 57 · from 88.58 $ (float 0.4487) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Battle-Scarred
any lot
432.96 $
at 108.24
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) — 205.05 $+96.81 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy0.4500–1.0000
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 14 · good ≈ 14Lis-Skins: suitable 40 of 40 · from 89.65 $ (float 0.4851) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 2 007.06 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 048.02 $listings 5 · you get 2 007.06 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 2 289.12 $ versus 2 048.02 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 2 289.12 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 1 178.00 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 240.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 178.00 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 886.30 $ versus 1 240.00 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 720.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 886.30 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 1 797.90 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 1 226.81 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 291.38 $listings 5 · you get 1 226.81 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 291.99 $ versus 1 291.38 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 178.30 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 291.99 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 1 184.65 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 601.91 $
(you get 523.40 $)) · buy orders: 66Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 624.49 $sell now to a buy order: 550.92 $
(you get 479.06 $)) · buy orders: 345
sell on Market.CSGO: 499.10 $ to your card
cheapest lot 547.26 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 450.00 $listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 497.92 $
on Lis-Skins: from 483.65 $listings: 35
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 535.62 $sell now to a buy order: 535.25 $
(you get 465.44 $)) · buy orders: 126
sell on Market.CSGO: 494.38 $ to your card
cheapest lot 542.09 · lots 7CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 488.88 $listings: 20
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 397.50 $sell now to a buy order: 397.39 $
(you get 345.55 $)) · buy orders: 122not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
MW costs more than FN: 252.80 $ versus 200.04 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 252.80 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 355.00 $listings: 3
MW costs more than FN: 187.03 $ versus 180.20 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 187.03 $sell now to a buy order: 183.49 $
(you get 159.55 $)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 239.04 $ to your card
cheapest lot 262.11 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 88.11 $sell now to a buy order: 86.95 $
(you get 75.61 $)) · buy orders: 46Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 59.77 $sells 5 a weeknow 68.73 $ — cheaper than the month average 77.99 $sell now to a buy order: 68.69 $
(you get 59.73 $)) · buy orders: 157
sell on Market.CSGO: 62.21 $ to your card
cheapest lot 68.21 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 66.04 $listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 61.83 $
on Lis-Skins: from 59.94 $listings: 59
BS costs more than WW: 103.49 $ versus 80.62 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 103.49 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 127.98 $ to your card
cheapest lot 140.33 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 73.84 $
on Lis-Skins: from 116.69 $listings: 6
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 132.73 $sell now to a buy order: 130.98 $
(you get 113.90 $)) · buy orders: 151not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
MW costs more than FN: 113.78 $ versus 106.57 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 113.78 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 112.51 $listings: 4
WW costs more than FT: 72.66 $ versus 68.48 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 72.66 $sell now to a buy order: 72.64 $
(you get 63.17 $)) · buy orders: 57Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
month average 62.59 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 56.29 $
(you get 48.95 $)) · buy orders: 212
sell on Market.CSGO: 50.98 $ to your card
cheapest lot 55.90 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 49.11 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 52.29 $
on Lis-Skins: from 49.01 $listings: 24
BS costs more than FT: 70.58 $ versus 67.37 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 70.58 $sell now to a buy order: 69.66 $
(you get 60.57 $)) · buy orders: 105
sell on Market.CSGO: 76.58 $ to your card
cheapest lot 83.97 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 69.00 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 80.09 $listings: 3
MW costs more than FN: 404.98 $ versus 310.24 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 404.98 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: price does not match Steam and is not shown
MW costs more than FN: 647.12 $ versus 223.61 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 647.12 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 224.95 $
(you get 195.61 $)) · buy orders: 143Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 171.72 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 180.75 $listings 4 · you get 171.72 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 225.38 $ versus 180.75 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 205.55 $ to your card
cheapest lot 225.38 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 214.87 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 70.92 $sell now to a buy order: 69.99 $
(you get 60.86 $)) · buy orders: 74
sell on Market.CSGO: 101.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 111.80 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 140.00 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 117.04 $listings: 4
BS costs more than WW: 72.78 $ versus 71.45 $ — calculated at the price of WWnow 72.78 $ — cheaper than the month average 72.97 $sell now to a buy order: 61.72 $
(you get 53.67 $)) · buy orders: 158
sell on Market.CSGO: 56.65 $ to your card
cheapest lot 62.11 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 60.80 $listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 56.70 $
on Lis-Skins: from 53.08 $listings: 25
BS costs more than WW: 107.78 $ versus 94.11 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 107.78 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 82.55 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 366.20 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 373.68 $listings 6 · you get 366.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 480.00 $ versus 373.68 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 359.90 $
(you get 312.95 $)) · buy orders: 180Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 480.00 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 220.92 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 232.54 $listings 3 · you get 220.92 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 510.81 $ versus 232.54 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 239.00 $
(you get 207.83 $)) · buy orders: 322
sell on Market.CSGO: 465.86 $ to your card
cheapest lot 510.81 · lots 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 124.21 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 177.88 $ to your card
cheapest lot 195.04 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 217.00 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 170.08 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
WW costs more than FT: 98.11 $ versus 83.96 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 98.11 $sell now to a buy order: 98.10 $
(you get 85.31 $)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 121.34 $ to your card
cheapest lot 133.05 · lots 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
month average 74.56 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 61.10 $
(you get 53.13 $)) · buy orders: 131
sell on Market.CSGO: 69.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 75.74 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 68.21 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 60.01 $
on Lis-Skins: from 56.29 $listings: 34
month average 77.67 $, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 75.51 $
(you get 65.66 $)) · buy orders: 96
sell on Market.CSGO: 86.95 $ to your card
cheapest lot 95.35 · lots 6CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
FT costs more than MW: 131.29 $ versus 129.69 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 131.29 $sell now to a buy order: 129.53 $
(you get 112.63 $)) · buy orders: 69
sell on Market.CSGO: 160.87 $ to your card
cheapest lot 176.39 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 146.29 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 151.11 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.97 $sell now to a buy order: 59.18 $
(you get 51.46 $)) · buy orders: 99Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than MW: 89.42 $ versus 69.91 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.42 $sell now to a buy order: 89.40 $
(you get 77.74 $)) · buy orders: 108Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 135.94 $sell now to a buy order: 135.90 $
(you get 118.17 $)) · buy orders: 111not listed on Market.CSGO right now
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 64.52 $sell now to a buy order: 63.68 $
(you get 55.37 $)) · buy orders: 133
sell on Market.CSGO: 61.13 $ to your card
cheapest lot 67.03 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 61.14 $listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 49.67 $ versus 45.65 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 49.67 $sell now to a buy order: 49.65 $
(you get 43.17 $)) · buy orders: 131
sell on Market.CSGO: 57.33 $ to your card
cheapest lot 62.86 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 70.00 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 82.58 $sell now to a buy order: 82.55 $
(you get 71.78 $)) · buy orders: 115
sell on Market.CSGO: 109.90 $ to your card
cheapest lot 120.50 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 110.07 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67.09 $sell now to a buy order: 67.07 $
(you get 58.32 $)) · buy orders: 73Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 67.67 $ versus 48.63 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 67.67 $sell now to a buy order: 67.64 $
(you get 58.82 $)) · buy orders: 101not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 52.64 $listings: 5Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 62.15 $ versus 40.84 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 62.15 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 58.91 $ to your card
cheapest lot 64.60 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 75.10 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 68.29 $listings: 3
BS costs more than MW: 85.15 $ versus 54.55 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 85.15 $sell now to a buy order: 85.12 $
(you get 74.01 $)) · buy orders: 94
sell on Market.CSGO: 79.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 86.96 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 99.00 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 81.99 $listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 91.54 $listings: 8
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.02112.52 → 114.66 $
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×0.92351.97 → 324.02 $
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.02108.24 → 110.29 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−348.10 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−338.84 $historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3408896
· The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −336.01$
· invest 572.72$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.