StatTrak™
Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10About the craftCraft 3409554 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a chain: 50 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (estimate)
×50
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch
Well-Worn
buy0.3800–0.4489
58.55 $
at 1.17
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details1 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.448954f′ (normalized) 0.448954wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 37
Market history: no data yet
×450
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9917
(100% of this wear's listings)
541.93 $
at 1.20
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details9 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.991782f′ (normalized) 0.991782wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 17 · good ≈ 17
on the market with this float, usually ~17,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 1.20 $ · little data, days: 0
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves
Craft on only from StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred), StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Battle-Scarred), StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 10.92 $.
Craft on only from StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 121.92 $.
Set · 500 pcs600.48 $
−304.45
(−50.7%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
30 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Restricted → Classified
50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.749999
10.75 $33%
SteamStatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred)fetches 9.35, no more than the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.937499
10.92 $33%
SteamStatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Battle-Scarred)fetches 9.50, no more than the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.937499
10.62 $33%
SteamStatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred)fetches 9.24, no more than the replacement
2
Classified → Covert
5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.749999
111.99 $50%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred)fetches 97.38, no more than the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.937499
121.92 $50%
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred)fetches 106.02, no more than the replacement
3
Covert → a knife or gloves
1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 521.79 $sell now to a buy order: 514.64 $
(you get 447.52 $)) · buy orders: 420Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 844.67 $listings: 5
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 162.13 $sell now to a buy order: 159.98 $
(you get 139.11 $)) · buy orders: 68not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 293.80 $ versus 272.16 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 293.80 $sell now to a buy order: 288.21 $
(you get 250.62 $)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 202.89 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 160.88 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 185.02 $sell now to a buy order: 182.58 $
(you get 158.76 $)) · buy orders: 106
sell on Market.CSGO: 200.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 220.03 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 187.00 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 174.81 $listings: 22
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 213.93 $sell now to a buy order: 213.86 $
(you get 185.96 $)) · buy orders: 149
sell on Market.CSGO: 253.42 $ to your card
cheapest lot 277.88 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 261.13 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 249.71 $
on Lis-Skins: from 250.68 $listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)net 123.49 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 158.39 $ versus 142.02 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 158.39 $sell now to a buy order: 156.32 $
(you get 135.93 $)) · buy orders: 33
sell on Market.CSGO: 170.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 187.45 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 157.81 $
on Lis-Skins: from 174.49 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 421.91 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 430.52 $listings 5 · you get 421.91 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 629.34 $ versus 430.52 $ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 569.91 $
(you get 495.58 $)) · buy orders: 2646Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 629.34 $listings: 5
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 170.12 $
(you get 147.93 $)) · buy orders: 28Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 135.76 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 162.68 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 166.00 $listings 3 · you get 162.68 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 174.98 $
(you get 152.15 $)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 166.00 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 101.82 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 117.09 $sell now to a buy order: 115.54 $
(you get 100.47 $)) · buy orders: 71
sell on Market.CSGO: 148.01 $ to your card
cheapest lot 162.29 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 114.77 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 112.85 $listings: 14
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 162.02 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 186.32 $sell now to a buy order: 186.26 $
(you get 161.97 $)) · buy orders: 88Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 159.93 $
on Lis-Skins: from 173.83 $listings: 8
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)net 99.59 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 114.52 $sell now to a buy order: 114.40 $
(you get 99.48 $)) · buy orders: 667Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 112.99 $
(you get 98.25 $)) · buy orders: 40not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn)net 58.44 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
WW costs more than MW: 70.15 $ versus 67.20 $ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 70.15 $sell now to a buy order: 34.59 $
(you get 30.08 $)) · buy orders: 90Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 88.11 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 101.32 $sell now to a buy order: 99.99 $
(you get 86.95 $)) · buy orders: 87
sell on Market.CSGO: 173.20 $ to your card
cheapest lot 189.92 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 97.79 $
on Lis-Skins: from 113.23 $listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 53.11 $
by lot · 1 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 61.18 $ versus 61.08 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 61.18 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 59.37 $ to your card
cheapest lot 65.10 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 61.87 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 52.82 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)net 89.99 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 103.49 $sell now to a buy order: 103.06 $
(you get 89.62 $)) · buy orders: 108
sell on Market.CSGO: 113.22 $ to your card
cheapest lot 124.15 · lots 9CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 102.96 $
on Lis-Skins: from 104.16 $listings: 17
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 42.38 $
(you get 36.86 $)) · buy orders: 83Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 1 641.94 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 675.45 $listings 3 · you get 1 641.94 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 962.43 $ versus 1 675.45 $ — calculated at the price of FNno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 962.43 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 556.38 $sell now to a buy order: 549.15 $
(you get 477.52 $)) · buy orders: 121Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 522.48 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 533.14 $listings 7 · you get 522.48 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 566.90 $
(you get 492.96 $)) · buy orders: 92
sell on Market.CSGO: 573.56 $ to your card
cheapest lot 628.91 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 533.14 $listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 523.46 $
on Lis-Skins: from 550.68 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 592.36 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than FT: 769.78 $ versus 681.21 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 769.78 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 631.80 $ to your card
cheapest lot 692.76 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 546.85 $listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 588.74 $listings: 12
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 888.57 $sell now to a buy order: 876.86 $
(you get 762.48 $)) · buy orders: 203
sell on Market.CSGO: 745.20 $ to your card
cheapest lot 817.11 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 740.00 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 717.13 $
on Lis-Skins: from 733.66 $listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)net 542.89 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 571.46 $listings 3 · you get 542.89 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 521.17 $ to your card
cheapest lot 571.46 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 458.75 $
on Lis-Skins: from 481.41 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 1 543.74 $
(you get 1 342.38 $)) · buy orders: 156not listed on Market.CSGO right now
WW costs more than FT: 419.42 $ versus 315.43 $ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 419.42 $sell now to a buy order: 419.31 $
(you get 364.61 $)) · buy orders: 47Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 309.72 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 347.93 $listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Battle-Scarred)net 344.96 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 396.70 $sell now to a buy order: 316.92 $
(you get 275.58 $)) · buy orders: 104
sell on Market.CSGO: 396.71 $ to your card
cheapest lot 434.99 · lots 6CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 400.78 $listings: 8
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)net 290.74 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 514.92 $ versus 334.35 $ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 514.92 $sell now to a buy order: 514.78 $
(you get 447.63 $)) · buy orders: 93
sell on Market.CSGO: 453.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 496.80 · lots 8CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 495.37 $
on Lis-Skins: from 459.40 $listings: 16
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 597.85 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 577.44 $ to your card
cheapest lot 633.16 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 570.90 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 581.08 $
on Lis-Skins: from 568.48 $listings: 13
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Battle-Scarred)net 355.40 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 374.11 $listings 5 · you get 355.40 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 388.92 $ versus 374.11 $ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 302.04 $
(you get 262.64 $)) · buy orders: 47
sell on Market.CSGO: 354.69 $ to your card
cheapest lot 388.92 · lots 5
on Lis-Skins: from 365.19 $listings: 7
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Well-Worn) × 5099% of the wear range fitsat least ×1.0758.55 → 62.37 $
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Battle-Scarred) × 45099% of the wear range fitsat least ×1.07541.93 → 577.26 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.937499900
outcomes come out up to 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.468749, 0.074999, 0.449999, 0.609374, 0.937499, 0.796874, 0.468749
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−328.97 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−310.23 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.