Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 446.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 815.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 796,
“profit only from resale” — 256,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 633.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3835; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0797 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0849 (≈3% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1798 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0049 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0793 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3839; SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0803 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0028 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0815 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3835; SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0801 (0% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0808 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0029 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0795 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0803 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1818 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0024 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1852 (≈2% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0808 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0017 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0796 (under 1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0013 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (2% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1717 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2532 (1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1751 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2543 (1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0802 (≈1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0030 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1639 (under 1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0052 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0067 (8% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0067 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1639 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Shredded (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.