Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
₽
LanguageRU
to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1706627 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +9 307.53₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 21 987.41₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 31 294.94₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +42.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 52 691.28₽ · profit at most −21 396.34₽ (at most -40.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 12288.00 → 30842.88 ₽
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 8976.78 → 20287.52 ₽
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 722.63 → 1560.88 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 821 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 821 ₽: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New), MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New), CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection
+9 307.53 ₽ +42.3% chance of profit 45%
expensive: Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) · 49 604.97 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −21 821 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1620
  • 3× Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0036
Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+2 046.83 ₽ +42.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1616
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 803.57 ₽ +33.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752
Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 388.45 ₽ +42.3% chance of profit 35%
expensive: AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) · 12 694.23 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0042
  • 3× SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
  • 6× FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1640
Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+1 189.35 ₽ +28.7% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
rare inputs
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection
+902.23 ₽ +37.5% chance of profit 40%
expensive: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) · 6 788.25 ₽ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 1× CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0045
  • 9× Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0752

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1620
12 288.00 ₽
at 2 048.00
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162008f′ (normalized) 0.137848wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 80 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 158 · from 3 411.76 ₽ (float 0.1509) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×3
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0036
8 976.78 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003654f′ (normalized) 0.009877wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 87 · from 4 554.44 ₽ (float 0.0012) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0036
722.63 ₽
at 722.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003654f′ (normalized) 0.018273wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 87 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 91 · from 3 300.41 ₽ (float 0.0027) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 21 987.41 ₽ +9 307.53 (+42.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 result 0.070000, 0.048125, 0.035000, 0.017500 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Factory New
57 045.72 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)net 49604.97 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 37 285.67 ₽ (you get 32 422.32)) · buy orders: 485 sell on Market.CSGO: 34 651.69 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 37 995.28 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 29 551.19 ₽ listings: 67 on CS.Money: ~ 33 730.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 31 087.04 ₽ listings: 103
at a loss
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis
Factory New
22 164.94 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)net 19273.86 you get 0.048125
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 897.19 ₽ (you get 16 432.33)) · buy orders: 445 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 170.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 730.35 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 14 397.42 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 16 883.22 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 073.75 ₽ listings: 33
at a loss
worst
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now
Factory New
3 050.00 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New)net 2652.17 you get 0.035000The Arms Deal 3 Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 3 038.93 ₽ (you get 2 642.54)) · buy orders: 290 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 547.33 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 793.13 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 2 395.00 ₽ listings: 60 on CS.Money: ~ 2 308.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 500.36 ₽ listings: 46
at a loss
P250 | Undertow
Factory New
3 837.77 ₽ 5.00%
Steam P250 | Undertow (Factory New)net 3337.19 you get 0.017500The Arms Deal 3 Collection sells 7 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 866.07 ₽ (you get 3 361.80)) · buy orders: 857 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 438.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 770.55 · lots 47 on CSFloat: from 3 064.85 ₽ listings: 156 on CS.Money: ~ 3 374.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 300.41 ₽ listings: 145
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work