Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1728126 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +26 473.56₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 16 210.44₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 42 684.00₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +163.3%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 41 219.59₽ · profit at most +1 464.41₽ (at most +3.5%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 788.11 → 1702.32 ₽
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 992.01 → 2142.74 ₽
P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 14430.32 → 37374.53 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −16 210 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −16 210 ₽: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New), M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New), AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New), AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+26 473.56 ₽ +163.3% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 69 906.13 ₽ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −16 210 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 819.71 ₽ +29.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) · 9 724.13 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
  • 8× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1683
  • 1× Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0763
Variant 3 The Gallery Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 725.85 ₽ +19.6% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) · 12 264.92 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1705
  • 7× UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 141.07 ₽ +21.2% chance of profit 50%
expensive: M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) · 8 841.97 ₽ · chance 45%
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1639
  • 2× AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
  • 7× P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0748
Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 042.58 ₽ +10.3% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AK-47 | B the Monster (Minimal Wear) · 13 205.51 ₽ · chance 80%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747
  • 8× Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+920.42 ₽ +15.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 7 709.81 ₽ · chance 45%
rare inputs
  • 1× SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 2× P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
788.11 ₽
at 788.11
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074580f′ (normalized) 0.074580wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 54 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 1.0 d.
×1
AUG | Bengal Tiger
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1631
992.01 ₽
at 992.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163167f′ (normalized) 0.139415wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
×8
P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
14 430.32 ₽
at 1 803.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074580f′ (normalized) 0.060750wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 59 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 9 611.52 ₽ · little data: 2.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 16 210.44 ₽ +26 473.56 (+163.3%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.050800, 0.070000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 95%
  • Losing outcome 5%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Jaguar
Factory New
80 392.05 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)net 69906.13 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 43 891.37 ₽ (you get 38 166.40)) · buy orders: 522 sell on Market.CSGO: 35 313.55 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 38 721.00 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 34 263.25 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 38 282.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 34 607.59 ₽ listings: 54
in profit
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Factory New
24 383.36 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)net 21202.92 you get 0.050800The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 205.78 ₽ (you get 19 309.37)) · buy orders: 887 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 409.64 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 186.01 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 16 454.07 ₽ listings: 55 on CS.Money: ~ 19 020.39 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 17 832.31 ₽ listings: 156
in profit
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
21 167.51 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 18406.53 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 600.03 ₽ (you get 17 043.50)) · buy orders: 1248 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 571.03 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 18 169.99 · lots 19 on CSFloat: from 15 384.20 ₽ listings: 145 on CS.Money: ~ 16 491.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 981.24 ₽ listings: 121
at a loss
worst
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
17 585.75 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 15291.96 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 257.02 ₽ (you get 14 136.53)) · buy orders: 1208 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 819.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 056.40 · lots 22 on CSFloat: from 12 612.30 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 13 315.55 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 12 731.37 ₽ listings: 102
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