Crafts · The Fracture Collection
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The Fracture Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1729569 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, not at the price of its normal counterpart. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 506.44₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 055.03₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 561.47₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +37.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 95%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 10 188.65₽ · profit at most −4 627.17₽ (at most -45.4%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 1012.94 → 2187.95 ₽
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) × 9 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.63 3042.09 → 8000.70 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Revolution Collection
+1 506.44 ₽ +37.1% chance of profit 95%
expensive: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) · 8 760.63 ₽ · chance 5.0%
rare inputs
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0047
  • 9× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1656
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+33 883.63 ₽ +157.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0037
  • 2× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 7× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+33 737.89 ₽ +153.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 77 229.36 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+22 203.38 ₽ +56.0% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 50% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0797
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0085
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection
+21 629.96 ₽ +53.4% chance of profit 45%
expensive: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 117 438.99 ₽ · chance 45%
marketplace price sells slowly 55% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
  • 3× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0807
  • 6× StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0093
Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Revolution Collection
+4 834.55 ₽ +57.4% chance of profit 50%
expensive: StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) · 22 468.92 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0051
  • 4× StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758
  • 5× StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0758

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0047
1 012.94 ₽
at 1 012.94
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004751f′ (normalized) 0.009502wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 94 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day · little data: 2.9 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 84 · from 4 172.41 ₽ (float 0.0015) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×9
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1656
3 042.09 ₽
at 338.01
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165610f′ (normalized) 0.165610wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 129 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 1 001.61 ₽ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 72) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 4 055.03 ₽ +1 506.44 (+37.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.120000, 0.105000, 0.120000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 50%
about break-even
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot
Minimal Wear
4 890.00 ₽ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)net 4252.17 you get 0.150000The Revolution Collection sells 85 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 504.84 ₽ (you get 3 917.25)) · buy orders: 6662 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 647.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 999.99 · lots 43 on CSFloat: from 3 532.54 ₽ listings: 90 on CS.Money: ~ 3 917.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 726.13 ₽ listings: 87
in profit
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau
Minimal Wear
7 710.69 ₽ 45.00%
Steam StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)net 6704.95 you get 0.120000The Revolution Collection sells 37 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 733.10 ₽ (you get 6 724.43)) · buy orders: 12897 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 308.45 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 917.17 · lots 38 on CSFloat: from 5 772.50 ₽ listings: 111 on CS.Money: ~ 6 508.30 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 371.25 ₽ listings: 114
about break-even
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
Minimal Wear
4 432.98 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)net 3854.77 you get 0.105000 sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 219.88 ₽ (you get 3 669.46)) · buy orders: 3263 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 306.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 625.49 · lots 65 on CSFloat: from 3 237.02 ₽ listings: 64 on CS.Money: ~ 3 503.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 3 499.13 ₽ listings: 110
in profit
best
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream
Minimal Wear
10 074.72 ₽ 5.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)net 8760.63 you get 0.120000 sells ≈28 a week — 6 of 7 days measured no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 7 517.06 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 242.40 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 6 941.73 ₽ listings: 167 on CS.Money: ~ 8 039.01 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 327.20 ₽ listings: 108
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