Crafts · The Harlequin Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1734395 · ways to build: 3 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +606.37₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 2 134.31₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 740.68₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +28.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 5 086.25₴ · profit at most −2 345.57₴ (at most -46.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 199.16 → 430.18 ₴
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 756.62 → 1868.85 ₴
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 1178.53 → 2787.21 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection
+606.37 ₴ +28.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+1 165.14 ₴ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+985.17 ₴ +38.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 30%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+923.63 ₴ +70.3% chance of profit 83%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+859.74 ₴ +46.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 2 929.77 ₴ · chance 90%
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2193
Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+857.70 ₴ +30.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 4 140.99 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0754
199.16 ₴
at 199.16
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075498f′ (normalized) 0.107854wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 303 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0754
756.62 ₴
at 151.32
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075498f′ (normalized) 0.112684wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 397 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
1 178.53 ₴
at 294.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004811f′ (normalized) 0.007180wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 340 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 2 134.31 ₴ +606.37 (+28.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 2 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge
Factory New
3 369.23 ₴ 90.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)net 2929.77 you get 0.070000The Radiant Collection sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 250.90 ₴ (you get 2 826.87)) · buy orders: 4085 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 509.63 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 2 751.79 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 2 467.29 ₴ listings: 145 on CS.Money: ~ 2 698.89 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 2 689.02 ₴ listings: 183
at a loss
worst
M4A1-S | Party Animal
Factory New
1 194.71 ₴ 10.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Party Animal (Factory New)net 1038.88 you get 0.042000 sells ≈168 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 1 222.59 ₴ (you get 1 063.12)) · buy orders: 4203 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 027.12 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 1 126.23 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 931.80 ₴ listings: 148 on CS.Money: ~ 977.13 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 1 030.09 ₴ listings: 511
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