Crafts · The Harlequin Collection
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The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1734395 · ways to build: 3 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +1 157.21₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 073.15₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 230.36₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +28.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 9 706.70₽ · profit at most −4 476.34₽ (at most -46.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 380.08 → 820.97 ₽
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.47 1443.95 → 3566.56 ₽
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) × 4 7% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2249.12 → 5319.17 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

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Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection
+1 157.21 ₽ +28.4% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 5× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0754
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0048
Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+2 223.57 ₽ +42.8% chance of profit 100%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+1 880.12 ₽ +38.6% chance of profit 30%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 17 915.19 ₽ · chance 30%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
  • 5× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0040
Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+1 762.68 ₽ +70.3% chance of profit 83%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 9 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 4× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
  • 5× UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0035
Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection
+1 640.74 ₽ +46.8% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) · 5 591.22 ₽ · chance 90%
  • 6× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0744
  • 3× M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0038
  • 1× MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) buy 0.2100–0.2193
Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Radiant Collection
+1 636.86 ₽ +30.2% chance of profit 90%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Factory New) · 7 902.74 ₽ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 9× CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0768

How to build Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0754
380.08 ₽
at 380.08
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075498f′ (normalized) 0.107854wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 303 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0754
1 443.95 ₽
at 288.79
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075498f′ (normalized) 0.112684wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 397 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
2 249.12 ₽
at 562.28
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004811f′ (normalized) 0.007180wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 340 · good ≈ 5
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 4 073.15 ₽ +1 157.21 (+28.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 2 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge
Factory New
6 429.90 ₽ 90.00%
Steam AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)net 5591.22 you get 0.070000The Radiant Collection sells 45 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 204.08 ₽ (you get 5 394.85)) · buy orders: 4085 sell on Market.CSGO: 4 789.43 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 251.57 · lots 42 on CSFloat: from 4 708.63 ₽ listings: 145 on CS.Money: ~ 5 150.62 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 131.78 ₽ listings: 183
at a loss
worst
M4A1-S | Party Animal
Factory New
2 280.00 ₽ 10.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Party Animal (Factory New)net 1982.61 you get 0.042000 sells ≈168 a week — 6 of 7 days measured sell now to a buy order: 2 333.22 ₽ (you get 2 028.88)) · buy orders: 4203 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 960.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 149.31 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 1 778.26 ₽ listings: 148 on CS.Money: ~ 1 864.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 965.85 ₽ listings: 511
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