The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.

Average profit +12 094.65₽

Invest 14 465.92₽

Average return 26 560.57₽

ROI +83.6%

Chance of profit 65%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 35 148.03₽ · profit at most −8 587.47₽ (at most -24.4%) · chance of profit at most 35%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 3581.70 → 8094.64 ₽

SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 760.00 → 1641.60 ₽

SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 10124.22 → 25411.79 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 466 ₽

Craft variants

+ a third collection

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

+12 094.65 ₽ +83.6% chance of profit 65%

expensive: AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 46 420.08 ₽ · chance 35%

profit on prices without salesat least −14 466 ₽

3× G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
1× SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
6× SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622

Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+1 009.55 ₽ +11.7% chance of profit 70%

expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) · 11 546.71 ₽ · chance 20%

rare inputs

6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
4× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+824.51 ₽ +13.6% chance of profit 60%

expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 9 250.39 ₽ · chance 30%

rare inputs

6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
1× MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
3× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745

Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+675.12 ₽ +11.8% chance of profit 50%

expensive: AWP | Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) · 12 151.21 ₽ · chance 5.0%

sells slowly

1× SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1617
7× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
2× MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740

Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

+26 789.62 ₽ +157.6% chance of profit 95%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 69 906.13 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 994 ₽

1× SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1624
9× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

+26 738.83 ₽ +160.9% chance of profit 100%

expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 69 906.13 ₽ · chance 45%

profit on prices without salesat least −16 616 ₽

1× G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3 581.70 ₽

at 1 193.90

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

760.00 ₽

at 760.00

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

10 124.22 ₽

at 1 687.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 465.92 ₽ +12 094.65 (+83.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −15 784 ₽

10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 10% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

8 357.30 ₽

at 1 193.90

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

5 739.18 ₽

at 2 869.59

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

1 687.37 ₽

at 1 687.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 783.85 ₽ +8 204.66 (+52.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −15 453 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 7% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 193.90 ₽

at 1 193.90

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

760.00 ₽

at 760.00

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

13 498.96 ₽

at 1 687.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 452.86 ₽ +11 965.06 (+77.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

best

AWP | Containment Breach

Factory New

53 383.09 ₽ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

10 664.08 ₽ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

24 819.09 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

29 368.54 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 337.44 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 899.12 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items enter their float — I'll pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set is its share in the chances. Your items are counted at market price in the full profit — you could sell them; separately shown is how much money you need to buy the rest now.

Third collection add one more to the craft's pair — it may pay more

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried — 1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest — and all outcome wears; the best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates the five most promising exactly.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — a guarantee, not a wish. The limits are calculated together: take all items at the upper bound at once — you get exactly what's shown. Take better — you get better.

f' — the same float, scaled to 0–1 by the skin's own range. Same as on csfloat.

Fees. The seller gets the listed price divided by 1.15, not multiplied by 0.85 — the fee is included in the buyer's price.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but sell you'll get it in seven days: during the week the price will move, and the number shown is an estimate at calculation time, not cash in hand.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the lot price and the sale price. Purchases — at the cheapest lot, and that is a lower bound: buying ten you climb the order book. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build