Crafts · The Shadow Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1741924 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +432.04₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 3 173.02₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 3 605.06₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +13.6%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 7 693.01₴ · profit at most −4 087.94₴ (at most -53.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 6 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 2168.08 → 5441.87 ₴
MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 200.49 → 433.05 ₴
XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 804.46 → 1818.08 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection
+432.04 ₴ +13.6% chance of profit 60%
expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 4 847.15 ₴ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 1× MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 3× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 2 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+1 202.78 ₴ +31.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) · 7 612.60 ₴ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 5 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 2× CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 3 only The Snakebite Collection
+1 072.25 ₴ +29.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 5 333.44 ₴ · chance 50%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0771
  • 2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0062
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+834.11 ₴ +28.4% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) · 11 110.20 ₴ · chance 5.0%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 9× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0746
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1633
Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+748.57 ₴ +19.1% chance of profit 100%
expensive: USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) · 5 333.44 ₴ · chance 45%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756
  • 2× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0049
  • 1× P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0756
Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+710.51 ₴ +16.3% chance of profit 55%
expensive: M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) · 8 738.49 ₴ · chance 10%
sells slowly rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 8× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 1× XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 1× Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
2 168.08 ₴
at 361.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163218f′ (normalized) 0.181353wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 45 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
MP9 | Food Chain
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1632
200.49 ₴
at 200.49
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163218f′ (normalized) 0.163218wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 350 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~4, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 665.66 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
×3
XM1014 | XOXO
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
804.46 ₴
at 268.15
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074597f′ (normalized) 0.082886wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 98 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 601.04 ₴ · little data: 0.0 d.
Set · 10 pcs 3 173.02 ₴ +432.04 (+13.6%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.118500, 0.150000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 60%
  • Losing outcome 40%
in profit
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Minimal Wear
4 747.35 ₴ 30.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)net 4128.13 you get 0.150000 sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 833.26 ₴ (you get 4 202.83)) · buy orders: 1200
in profit
best
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Minimal Wear
5 574.22 ₴ 30.00%
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)net 4847.15 you get 0.150000 sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 406.97 ₴ (you get 4 701.71)) · buy orders: 900
at a loss
worst
M4A4 | In Living Color
Minimal Wear
2 328.63 ₴ 20.00%
Steam M4A4 | In Living Color (Minimal Wear)net 2024.90 you get 0.118500The Snakebite Collection sells 62 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 093.94 ₴ (you get 1 820.82)) · buy orders: 3042
at a loss
USP-S | The Traitor
Minimal Wear
2 918.13 ₴ 20.00%
Steam USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear)net 2537.50 you get 0.150000The Snakebite Collection sells 53 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 792.93 ₴ (you get 2 428.63)) · buy orders: 2775
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