Crafts · The Shadow Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1741957 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +529.00₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 4 531.96₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 5 060.96₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +11.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 70%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 11 032.46₴ · profit at most −5 971.50₴ (at most -54.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) × 6 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.51 2168.08 → 5441.87 ₴
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear window fits at least ×2.37 2363.88 → 5590.58 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection
+529.00 ₴ +11.7% chance of profit 70%
expensive: P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) · 6 050.41 ₴ · chance 20%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1615
  • 4× M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0740
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+432.04 ₴ +13.6% chance of profit 60%
expensive: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) · 4 847.15 ₴ · chance 30%
rare inputs
  • 6× G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 1× MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1632
  • 3× XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+14 010.98 ₴ +160.9% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 36 630.38 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 707 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1625
  • 8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0743
Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
+13 670.67 ₴ +156.6% chance of profit 95%
expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 36 630.38 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 427 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+6 337.52 ₴ +83.6% chance of profit 65%
expensive: AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) · 24 323.84 ₴ · chance 35%
profit on prices without salesat least −7 580 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0742
  • 1× SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
  • 6× SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1622
Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection
+5 859.39 ₴ +40.7% chance of profit 80%
expensive: AWP | LongDog (Factory New) · 22 249.02 ₴ · chance 80%
profit on prices without salesat least −14 409 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 2 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0041
  • 1× MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1636
  • 7× MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0747

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

5% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 5% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×6
G3SG1 | Flux
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1615
2 168.08 ₴
at 361.35
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161554f′ (normalized) 0.179505wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 45 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0740
2 363.88 ₴
at 590.97
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074019f′ (normalized) 0.105741wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 219 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 4 531.96 ₴ +529.00 (+11.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.149999900 result 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.150000, 0.105000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 70%
  • Losing outcome 30%
at a loss
worst
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Minimal Wear
4 747.35 ₴ 30.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear)net 4128.13 you get 0.150000 sells 40 a week sell now to a buy order: 4 833.26 ₴ (you get 4 202.83)) · buy orders: 1200
in profit
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Minimal Wear
5 574.22 ₴ 30.00%
Steam USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)net 4847.15 you get 0.150000 sells 23 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 406.97 ₴ (you get 4 701.71)) · buy orders: 900
in profit
AK-47 | The Empress
Minimal Wear
6 660.18 ₴ 20.00%
Steam AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear)net 5791.46 you get 0.150000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 67 a week sell now to a buy order: 6 047.33 ₴ (you get 5 258.55)) · buy orders: 3460
in profit
best
P250 | See Ya Later
Minimal Wear
6 957.97 ₴ 20.00%
Steam P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear)net 6050.41 you get 0.105000The Spectrum 2 Collection sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 709.12 ₴ (you get 4 964.45)) · buy orders: 5136
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