Crafts · The Vanguard Collection
₴≈
₽ RUB ₴ UAH ₸ KZT $ USD

≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 0.5240 ₴. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 1743167 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +13 266.84₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 8 697.12₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 21 963.96₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +152.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 22 037.19₴ · profit at most −73.23₴ (at most -0.3%) · chance of profit at most 45%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 615.92 → 1330.38 ₴
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.16 519.81 → 1122.78 ₴
P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear window fits at least ×2.59 7561.40 → 19584.02 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −8 468 ₴ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −8 468 ₴: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New), M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New), AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)

Craft variants Craft variants The same main collection (or the second one) with another partner — a different collection for balance. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

+ a third collection
Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+13 266.84 ₴ +152.5% chance of profit 90%
expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 36 630.38 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 468 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1631
  • 8× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0745
Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+14 843.91 ₴ +164.5% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) · 36 630.38 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 026 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 1× AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1641
  • 9× P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0749
Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection
+2 106.26 ₴ +19.3% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 21 415.40 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 601 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 7× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 985.23 ₴ +18.1% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 21 415.40 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 932 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0765
  • 6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
  • 1× Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0057
Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+1 265.06 ₴ +11.4% chance of profit 45%
expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 21 415.40 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −8 877 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0767
  • 6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
  • 1× P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0059
Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
+459.71 ₴ +3.9% chance of profit 45%
expensive: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) · 21 415.40 ₴ · chance 45%
profit on prices without salesat least −9 177 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 6× XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
  • 1× FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) buy 0.0200–0.0240

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 6% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×1
SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
615.92 ₴
at 615.92
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074580f′ (normalized) 0.074580wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new per day — can't tell yet · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 43) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×1
AUG | Bengal Tiger
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1631
519.81 ₴
at 519.81
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163167f′ (normalized) 0.139415wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 37 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new ~0.0 per day
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 66 · from 1 764.40 ₴ (float 0.1556) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
×8
P2000 | Corticera
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
7 561.40 ₴
at 945.17
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074580f′ (normalized) 0.060750wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 59 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 5 036.38 ₴ · little data: 3.0 d.
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 63) · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 8 697.12 ₴ +13 266.84 (+152.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.070000, 0.050800, 0.095500, 0.042000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 90%
  • Losing outcome 10%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Jaguar
Factory New
42 124.94 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)net 36630.38 you get 0.070000The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 998.81 ₴ (you get 19 998.96)) · buy orders: 522 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 504.08 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 20 289.57 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 17 953.73 ₴ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 20 059.71 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 18 134.17 ₴ listings: 54
in profit
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Factory New
12 776.73 ₴ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)net 11110.20 you get 0.050800The eSports 2014 Summer Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 635.69 ₴ (you get 10 117.99)) · buy orders: 887 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 646.54 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 10 577.35 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 8 621.83 ₴ listings: 55 on CS.Money: ~ 9 966.57 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 9 344.02 ₴ listings: 156
at a loss
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
Minimal Wear
5 776.67 ₴ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)net 5023.19 you get 0.095500
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 4 618.30 ₴ (you get 4 015.91)) · buy orders: 1092 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 627.13 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 3 977.11 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 3 413.90 ₴ listings: 88 on CS.Money: ~ 3 686.35 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 691.29 ₴ listings: 122
at a loss
worst
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
5 279.39 ₴ 5.00%
Steam P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)net 4590.77 you get 0.042000 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 5 206.05 ₴ (you get 4 526.99)) · buy orders: 764 sell on Market.CSGO: 3 903.08 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 4 279.69 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 3 932.32 ₴ listings: 59 on CS.Money: ~ 3 849.28 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 3 628.00 ₴ listings: 76
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