Crafts · The Horizon Collection
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≈ at the Steam rate on 06.10: 1 ₽ = 5.2744 ₸. This is a conversion, not the regional price.

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The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743476 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +164 553.53₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 359 965.18₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 524 518.72₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -260 123.90 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +424 677.48 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 043 899.04₸ · profit at most −519 380.32₸ (at most -49.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) × 600 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 180066.98 → 522194.25 ₸
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) × 400 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 179898.20 → 521704.79 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -260 123.90 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+164 553.56 ₸ +45.7% chance of profit 0%
expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) · 110 496.57 ₸ · chance 50%
profit only from resale sells slowly 100% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 4× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+12 997.17 ₸ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 94 491.34 ₸ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+38 967.98 ₸ +64.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) · 110 496.57 ₸ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −60 873 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0772
  • 3× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0063

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 1000 pcs needed, and about 11 sell per day — buying will take 91 day, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×600
R8 Revolver | Survivalist
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0764
180 066.98 ₸
at 300.11
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details6 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076421f′ (normalized) 0.109174wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 120 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 711.93 ₸ · little data: 1.1 d.
×400
Dual Berettas | Shred
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
179 898.20 ₸
at 449.75
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details4 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005619f′ (normalized) 0.011238wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 347 · good ≈ 8
on the market with this float, usually ~8, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 2 529.01 ₸
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from AWP | PAW (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 3 873.23 ₸.

Craft on only from Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 10 591.94 ₸.

Set · 1000 pcs 359 965.18 ₸ +164 553.53 (+45.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
craft on
AWP | PAW
Factory New
3 723.07 ₸ 20%
Steam AWP | PAW (Factory New)fetches 3 237.46, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
sell
CZ75-Auto | Eco
Factory New
6 840.70 ₸ 20%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New)+2 075.20 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
G3SG1 | High Seas
Factory New
6 331.04 ₸ 20%
Steam G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New)+1 632.00 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
MP7 | Powercore
Factory New
5 851.17 ₸ 20%
Steam MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)+1 214.74 each above the replacement you get 0.0560
sell
Nova | Toy Soldier
Factory New
6 611.00 ₸ 20%
Steam Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New)+1 875.46 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
15 307.91 ₸ 33%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)+2 719.31 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
108 665.04 ₸ 33%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)+83 899.40 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
8 602.81 ₸ 33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)fetches 7 480.69, no more than the replacement you get 0.0560
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
AK-47 | Neon Rider
Factory New
127 071.06 ₸ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)net 110496.57 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 118 922.06 ₸ (you get 103 410.45)) · buy orders: 827
at a loss
worst
Desert Eagle | Code Red
Factory New
102 563.86 ₸ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)net 89185.95 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 91 939.02 ₸ (you get 79 946.94)) · buy orders: 779
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