Crafts · The Horizon Collection
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The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Covert About the craft Craft 1743476 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +16 347.93₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 35 761.53₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 52 109.47₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +45.7%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%
From the outcome -25 842.58 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +42 190.52 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 103 708.45₴ · profit at most −51 598.98₴ (at most -49.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) × 600 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 17889.15 → 51878.54 ₴
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) × 400 8% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 17872.38 → 51829.91 ₴

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
profit only from resale — without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative: -25 842.58 ₴.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Mil-Spec → Covert
+16 347.94 ₴ +45.7% chance of profit 0%
expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) · 10 977.53 ₴ · chance 50%
profit only from resale sells slowly 100% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 11 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0764
  • 4× Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0056
Variant 2 Restricted → Classified
+1 291.23 ₴ +51.1% chance of profit 33%
expensive: M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) · 9 387.45 ₴ · chance 33%
sells slowly float out of reach There are enough lots, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be put together with the promised wears right now.
  • 4× Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1630
  • 6× AWP | PAW (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0039
Variant 3 Classified → Covert
+3 871.36 ₴ +64.0% chance of profit 100%
expensive: AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) · 10 977.53 ₴ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −6 048 ₴ rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 7× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0772
  • 3× Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0063

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)

Price understated: only 8% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one; 1000 pcs needed, and about 11 sell per day — buying will take 91 day, and the price will move in the meantime. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×600
R8 Revolver | Survivalist
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0764
17 889.15 ₴
at 29.82
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details6 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.076421f′ (normalized) 0.109174wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 120 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new ~0.0 per day, cheapest usually 70.73 ₴ · little data: 1.1 d.
×400
Dual Berettas | Shred
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0056
17 872.38 ₴
at 44.68
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details4 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.005619f′ (normalized) 0.011238wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 347 · good ≈ 8
on the market with this float, usually ~8, new ~0.25 per day, cheapest usually 251.25 ₴
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert

Craft on only from AWP | PAW (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 384.79 ₴.

Craft on only from Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 1 052.28 ₴.

Set · 1000 pcs 35 761.53 ₴ +16 347.93 (+45.7%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.056000, 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 2 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
craft on
AWP | PAW
Factory New
369.88 ₴ 20%
Steam AWP | PAW (Factory New)fetches 321.63, no more than the replacement you get 0.0350
sell
CZ75-Auto | Eco
Factory New
679.60 ₴ 20%
Steam CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New)+206.17 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
sell
G3SG1 | High Seas
Factory New
628.97 ₴ 20%
Steam G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New)+162.13 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
MP7 | Powercore
Factory New
581.30 ₴ 20%
Steam MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)+120.68 each above the replacement you get 0.0560
sell
Nova | Toy Soldier
Factory New
656.78 ₴ 20%
Steam Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New)+186.32 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
2

Restricted → Classified

10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
1 520.80 ₴ 33%
Steam FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)+270.16 each above the replacement you get 0.0490
sell
M4A1-S | Nightmare
Factory New
10 795.57 ₴ 33%
Steam M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)+8 335.17 each above the replacement you get 0.0700
craft on
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Factory New
854.67 ₴ 33%
Steam Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)fetches 743.19, no more than the replacement you get 0.0560
3

Classified → Covert

1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
best
AK-47 | Neon Rider
Factory New
12 624.15 ₴ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)net 10977.53 you get 0.056000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 814.57 ₴ (you get 10 273.54)) · buy orders: 827 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 004.33 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 9 873.17 · lots 15 on CSFloat: from 9 019.51 ₴ listings: 139 on CS.Money: ~ 9 849.86 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 9 618.71 ₴ listings: 124
at a loss
worst
Desert Eagle | Code Red
Factory New
10 189.43 ₴ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)net 8860.37 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 133.88 ₴ (you get 7 942.51)) · buy orders: 779 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 167.75 ₴ to your card cheapest lot 7 859.38 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 6 822.42 ₴ listings: 53 on CS.Money: ~ 7 795.06 ₴ on Lis-Skins: from 7 128.98 ₴ listings: 130
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