Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection

Classified → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753540 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −18 036.76₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 282 661.38₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 264 624.62₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −6.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 8%
From the outcome -126 606.45 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +108 569.74 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 819 718.02₸ · profit at most −555 093.39₸ (at most -67.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) × 50 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 282661.38 → 819718.02 ₸

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 15.4% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 7.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -23 458.50 ₸.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → нож или перчатки
−18 036.75 ₸ −6.4% chance of profit 8%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 707 207.27 ₸ · chance 7.7%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 77% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 10× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+8 713.75 ₸ +20.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 74 396.09 ₸ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −28 484 ₸ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0779
  • 4× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+1 213.92 ₸ +0.8% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 707 207.27 ₸ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −131 351 ₸ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)
×50
P90 | Nostalgia
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0077
282 661.38 ₸
at 5 653.23
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details10 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.007702f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 55 172.81 ₸ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 77 · from 18 451.22 ₸ (float 0.0057) · craft not before 15.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
50
buy
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 30 968.20 ₸.

Set · 50 pcs 282 661.38 ₸ -18 036.76 (-6.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
AWP | Wildfire
Factory New
85 555.50 ₸ 50%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)+43 427.89 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0193
craft on
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
30 163.96 ₸ 50%
Steam FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)fetches 26 229.55, no more than the replacement you get 0.0068
2

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 8%
  • Losing outcome 77%
  • Above the Steam cap 15%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
157 823.22 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 137237.57 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 145 047.70 ₸ (you get 126 128.43)) · buy orders: 609 sell on Market.CSGO: 119 200.39 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 130 702.20 · lots 8 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 108 809.72 ₸ listings: 128 on CS.Money: ~ 115 952.59 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 115 600.15 ₸ listings: 76
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
103 102.75 ₸ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 89654.58 you get 0.013378 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 101 012.36 ₸ (you get 87 836.82)) · buy orders: 331 sell on Market.CSGO: 83 548.76 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 91 610.53 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 76 493.02 ₸ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 87 819.47 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 83 071.11 ₸ listings: 38
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
154 188.18 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 134076.69 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 96 558.94 ₸ (you get 83 964.27)) · buy orders: 169 sell on Market.CSGO: 108 891.58 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 119 398.70 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 91 447.34 ₸ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 91 379.56 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 95 305.65 ₸ listings: 7
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
130 128.67 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 113155.38 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 76 132.52 ₸ (you get 66 202.15)) · buy orders: 133 sell on Market.CSGO: 74 386.28 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 81 563.91 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 81 318.12 ₸ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 71 595.56 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 85 054.49 ₸ listings: 5
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
167 013.02 ₸ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 145228.72 you get 0.013513 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 168 303.50 ₸ (you get 146 350.84)) · buy orders: 173 sell on Market.CSGO: 176 267.64 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 193 275.96 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 136 893.15 ₸ listings: 17 on CS.Money: ~ 151 702.90 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 158 985.80 ₸ listings: 17
at a loss
worst
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
71 920.88 ₸ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 70482.46 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 71 920.88 ₸ listings 3 · you get 70 482.46 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 53 138.91 ₸ (you get 46 207.70)) · buy orders: 80 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 71 920.88 ₸ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
158 582.94 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 137898.24 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
in profit
best
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
813 288.35 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 707207.27 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 246 125.61 ₸ (you get 214 022.27)) · buy orders: 46 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 406 613.35 ₸ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 442 164.92 ₸ listings: 6
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
292 265.22 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 254143.66 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 83 763.43 ₸ (you get 72 837.73)) · buy orders: 57 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 178 571.01 ₸ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
164 244.30 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 142821.12 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 71 583.22 ₸ (you get 62 246.27)) · buy orders: 85 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 71 685.91 ₸ listings: 3
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
111 329.50 ₸ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 96808.26
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 100 033.91 ₸ (you get 86 985.96)) · buy orders: 1036 sell on Market.CSGO: 78 065.42 ₸ to your card cheapest lot 85 598.06 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 76 845.40 ₸ listings: 46 on CS.Money: ~ 90 082.91 ₸ on Lis-Skins: from 76 339.38 ₸ listings: 54
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