Knives and gloves · The CS20 Collection
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The CS20 Collection

Classified → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10 About the craft Craft 1753540 · ways to build: 1 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and its pool is large: the chance of a particular item is small, so what counts is the average over the whole pool. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft wasn't checked against the market overnight (only the best ones are) or there weren't enough listings — the numbers below are by average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will price it by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −39.92$
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 625.64$
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 585.72$
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −6.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 8%
From the outcome -280.23 if you feed everything on without selling
Selling intermediates +240.31 money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 814.37$ · profit at most −1 228.65$ (at most -67.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits or more than 10 pieces of one item. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) × 50 11% of the wear window fits at least ×2.90 625.64 → 1814.37 $

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
The gain is understated. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam — they're above its cap and aren't listed. The calculation counts them as zero; they carry 15.4% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat — outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float, — that is 7.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace is real money you can withdraw, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is -51.92 $.

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Classified → нож или перчатки
−39.92 $ −6.4% chance of profit 8%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 1 565.34 $ · chance 7.7%
no outcome price marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. sells slowly 77% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away. rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 10× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0077
Variant 2 Classified → Covert
+19.29 $ +20.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) · 164.67 $ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −63 $ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 6× P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0779
  • 4× P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0069
Variant 3 Covert → нож или перчатки
+2.69 $ +0.8% chance of profit 15%
expensive: ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) · 1 565.34 $ · chance 7.7%
profit on prices without salesat least −291 $ no outcome price Outcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understated marketplace price Price from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real. rare inputs The rarest input sells 3 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy. pricier variants exist Pattern (phase, design) and float change the price: some items sell for more. Counted at the usual price of the wear.
  • 5× FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0067

What to buy Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 chains · hard (by listings)
×50
P90 | Nostalgia
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0077
625.64 $
at 12.51
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase details10 per contract, for each of the 5 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.007702f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 82 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new per day — can't tell yet, cheapest usually 122.12 $ · little data: 0.0 d.
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 77 · from 40.84 $ (float 0.0057) · craft not before 14.10 · data 07.10 02:08 MSK
50
buy
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves

Craft on only from FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New), sell the rest. Buy the missing ones at 68.55 $.

Set · 50 pcs 625.64 $ -39.92 (-6.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 result 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.070000, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

Chain steps 13 outcomes How the chain goes All steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling. Finish in the chain builder — with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.

1

Classified → Covert

5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
AWP | Wildfire
Factory New
189.37 $ 50%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)+96.12 each above the replacement
by lot · 0 sales per day
you get 0.0193
craft on
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
66.77 $ 50%
Steam FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)fetches 58.06, no more than the replacement you get 0.0068
2

Covert → нож или перчатки

1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
  • Profitable outcome 8%
  • Losing outcome 77%
  • Above the Steam cap 15%
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Fade
Factory New
349.33 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 303.76 you get 0.001081
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 321.05 $ (you get 279.17)) · buy orders: 609 sell on Market.CSGO: 263.84 $ to your card cheapest lot 289.30 · lots 8 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 240.84 $ listings: 128 on CS.Money: ~ 256.65 $ on Lis-Skins: from 255.87 $ listings: 76
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
228.21 $ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 198.44 you get 0.013378 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 223.58 $ (you get 194.42)) · buy orders: 331 sell on Market.CSGO: 184.93 $ to your card cheapest lot 202.77 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 169.31 $ listings: 38 on CS.Money: ~ 194.38 $ on Lis-Skins: from 183.87 $ listings: 38
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
341.28 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 296.77 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 213.72 $ (you get 185.85)) · buy orders: 169 sell on Market.CSGO: 241.02 $ to your card cheapest lot 264.28 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 202.41 $ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 202.26 $ on Lis-Skins: from 210.95 $ listings: 7
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Stained
Factory New
288.03 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 250.46 you get 0.013513
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 168.51 $ (you get 146.53)) · buy orders: 133 sell on Market.CSGO: 164.65 $ to your card cheapest lot 180.53 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 179.99 $ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 158.47 $ on Lis-Skins: from 188.26 $ listings: 5
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
369.67 $ 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 321.45 you get 0.013513 sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 372.52 $ (you get 323.93)) · buy orders: 173 sell on Market.CSGO: 390.15 $ to your card cheapest lot 427.80 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 303.00 $ listings: 17 on CS.Money: ~ 335.78 $ on Lis-Skins: from 351.90 $ listings: 17
at a loss
worst
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
159.19 $ 7.69%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 156.01 you get 0.070000 no price on Steam — listing on CSFloat from 159.19 $ listings 3 · you get 156.01 $ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 117.62 $ (you get 102.28)) · buy orders: 80 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 159.19 $ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
351.01 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 305.22 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price
in profit
best
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
1 800.14 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1565.34 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 544.78 $ (you get 473.72)) · buy orders: 46 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 900.00 $ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 978.69 $ listings: 6
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Scorched
Factory New
646.90 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 562.52 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 185.40 $ (you get 161.22)) · buy orders: 57 Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price on CSFloat: from 395.25 $ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 lots — too few, no price
at a loss
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
363.54 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 316.12 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 158.44 $ (you get 137.78)) · buy orders: 85 Market.CSGO: 2 lots — too few, no price CSFloat: 1 lots — too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 158.67 $ listings: 3
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 lots — too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 lots — too few, no price
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
not on Steam — above the cap 7.69%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) you get 0.070000 no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
★ Classic Knife
no wear
246.42 $ 7.69%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Classic Knifenet 214.28
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 221.42 $ (you get 192.54)) · buy orders: 1036 sell on Market.CSGO: 172.79 $ to your card cheapest lot 189.46 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 170.09 $ listings: 46 on CS.Money: ~ 199.39 $ on Lis-Skins: from 168.97 $ listings: 54
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