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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +4 313.33₴

Invest 27 550.57₴

Average return 31 863.90₴

ROI +15.7%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 68 617.72 ₴, profit at most −36 753.81 ₴

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −26 611.97 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

25 556.33 ₴

at 4 259.39

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

356.55 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 637.69 ₴

at 545.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 550.57 ₴ +4 313.33 (+15.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

7 703.58 ₴

at 3 851.79

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

4 259.39 ₴

at 4 259.39

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

356.55 ₴

at 356.55

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

3 275.39 ₴

at 545.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 594.90 ₴ +1 510.31 (+9.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

3 851.79 ₴

at 3 851.79

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

12 778.16 ₴

at 4 259.39

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

306.66 ₴

at 306.66

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2 729.49 ₴

at 545.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 666.10 ₴ +2 358.67 (+12.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 594.05 ₴ 60.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

2 875.84 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

2 521.15 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 210.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 278.92 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2055696 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 5 205.24₴ · invest 28 883.44₴
marketplace price rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078653 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055885 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5 172.00₴ · invest 26 947.71₴
marketplace price rare inputs

USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075941 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056041 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 5 160.31₴ · invest 27 612.55₴
marketplace price rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077217 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056131 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 5 134.71₴ · invest 27 304.84₴
marketplace price rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077017 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055443 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 5 096.96₴ · invest 27 365.90₴
marketplace price rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074150 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056132 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 5 032.70₴ · invest 27 092.79₴
marketplace price rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055322 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 5 000.22₴ · invest 27 762.16₴
marketplace price rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079141 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056156 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4 948.65₴ · invest 27 215.81₴
marketplace price rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear), AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075008 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055444 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 4 658.07₴ · invest 27 273.82₴
marketplace price rare inputs

USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear), AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075854 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055676 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4 542.81₴ · invest 29 803.53₴
marketplace price rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear), MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076440 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056309 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4 491.50₴ · invest 28 924.10₴
marketplace price rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079387 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055886 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 4 446.76₴ · invest 23 148.06₴
marketplace price rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076842 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055545 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4 430.24₴ · invest 28 106.80₴
marketplace price rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076440 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055818 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 4 305.54₴ · invest 28 903.65₴
marketplace price rare inputs

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear), Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074195 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055402 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 4 173.10₴ · invest 26 086.67₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077673 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056157 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4 053.61₴ · invest 23 669.65₴
marketplace price rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077317 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build