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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +95.95$

Invest 612.88$

Average return 708.83$

ROI +15.7%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 1 526.45 $, profit at most −817.61 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −592.00 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

568.52 $

at 94.75

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

7.93 $

at 7.93

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

36.43 $

at 12.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 612.88 $ +95.95 (+15.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

171.37 $

at 85.69

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

94.75 $

at 94.75

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

7.93 $

at 7.93

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

72.86 $

at 12.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 346.92 $ +33.60 (+9.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

85.69 $

at 85.69

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

284.26 $

at 94.75

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6.82 $

at 6.82

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

60.72 $

at 12.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 437.49 $ +52.47 (+12.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 169.99 $ 60.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

63.97 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

56.08 $ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +93.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +95.19 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2055696 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 115.79$ · invest 642.53$
marketplace price rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078653 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055885 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 115.05$ · invest 599.47$
marketplace price rare inputs

USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075941 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056041 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 114.79$ · invest 614.26$
marketplace price rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077217 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056131 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 114.23$ · invest 607.42$
marketplace price rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077017 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055443 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 113.39$ · invest 608.77$
marketplace price rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074150 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056132 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 111.96$ · invest 602.70$
marketplace price rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055322 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 111.23$ · invest 617.59$
marketplace price rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079141 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056156 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 110.09$ · invest 605.43$
marketplace price rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear), AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075008 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055444 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 103.62$ · invest 606.73$
marketplace price rare inputs

USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear), AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075854 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055676 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 101.06$ · invest 663.00$
marketplace price rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear), MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076440 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056309 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 99.92$ · invest 643.44$
marketplace price rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079387 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055886 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 98.92$ · invest 514.94$
marketplace price rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076842 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055545 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 98.55$ · invest 625.26$
marketplace price rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076440 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055818 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 95.78$ · invest 642.98$
marketplace price rare inputs

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear), Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074195 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2055402 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 92.83$ · invest 580.32$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077673 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2056157 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 90.18$ · invest 526.55$
marketplace price rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077317 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build