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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +95 935.98₸

Invest 142 490.69₸

Average return 238 426.67₸

ROI +67.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 367 898.54 ₸, profit at most −129 471.87 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −142 491 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

14 578.69 ₸

at 14 578.69

Steam

×9

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

127 911.99 ₸

at 14 212.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142 490.69 ₸ +95 935.98 (+67.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −116 767 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

72 893.47 ₸

at 14 578.69

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

15 448.94 ₸

at 5 149.65

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

28 424.89 ₸

at 14 212.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116 767.30 ₸ +67 993.61 (+58.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 459 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

38 573.13 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

43 736.08 ₸

at 14 578.69

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

5 149.65 ₸

at 5 149.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87 458.86 ₸ +43 636.34 (+49.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 329 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

25 715.42 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

58 314.78 ₸

at 14 578.69

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

10 299.30 ₸

at 5 149.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94 329.49 ₸ +50 182.15 (+53.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −101 200 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

12 857.71 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

72 893.47 ₸

at 14 578.69

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

15 448.94 ₸

at 5 149.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101 200.13 ₸ +56 727.96 (+56.1%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

289 619.54 ₸ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

147 739.17 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 922.06 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +44 282.79 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +69 172.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 33 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2282939 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 102 452.52₸ · invest 131 549.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −131 549 ₸ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075855 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2284344 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 101 128.27₸ · invest 132 890.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −130 522 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2263784 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 856.52₸ · invest 137 310.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −137 310 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2275118 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 478.19₸ · invest 136 492.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −133 591 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2272500 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 459.94₸ · invest 131 145.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 199 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2283641 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 327.94₸ · invest 132 021.04₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 331 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2265880 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 326.33₸ · invest 132 337.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −130 646 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2278037 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 283.03₸ · invest 137 438.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −132 682 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2260972 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 121.68₸ · invest 132 843.72₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 537 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2279380 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 98 107.56₸ · invest 132 181.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 551 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2284022 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 97 688.88₸ · invest 132 909.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 970 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2282135 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 97 527.96₸ · invest 133 848.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −129 131 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2259862 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 97 223.84₸ · invest 139 888.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −129 435 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2271642 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 97 096.61₸ · invest 135 112.10₸
profit on prices without salesat least −129 562 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2269393 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96 756.58₸ · invest 135 085.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −129 902 ₸ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2268290 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96 636.18₸ · invest 138 343.63₸
profit on prices without salesat least −134 166 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285638 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96 606.73₸ · invest 136 538.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −130 052 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2267270 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96 499.83₸ · invest 132 556.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −130 159 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2282528 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96 474.46₸ · invest 136 197.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −132 768 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2281204 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96 344.22₸ · invest 151 965.33₸
profit on prices without salesat least −151 965 ₸ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2278509 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96 031.07₸ · invest 144 548.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −142 960 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285940 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 95 962.48₸ · invest 141 919.18₸
profit on prices without salesat least −132 551 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285496 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 95 950.91₸ · invest 139 563.35₸
profit on prices without salesat least −136 825 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2270715 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 95 803.73₸ · invest 139 010.66₸
profit on prices without salesat least −139 011 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285321 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 95 761.95₸ · invest 135 242.63₸
profit on prices without salesat least −133 035 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2274390 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 95 460.25₸ · invest 139 941.25₸
profit on prices without salesat least −134 496 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2273533 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 95 250.46₸ · invest 137 746.58₸
profit on prices without salesat least −131 408 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2281587 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 94 882.69₸ · invest 148 118.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −131 776 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2264720 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 94 500.03₸ · invest 137 746.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −134 875 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2275844 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 93 975.78₸ · invest 141 809.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −136 767 ₸ rare inputs

MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2276495 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 93 279.00₸ · invest 153 782.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −146 741 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285927 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 92 410.01₸ · invest 138 426.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −134 249 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2262559 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 92 301.54₸ · invest 144 077.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −134 357 ₸ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077156 instead of 0.076751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build