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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +211.40$

Invest 313.99$

Average return 525.39$

ROI +67.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 810.69 $, profit at most −285.30 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −314 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

32.13 $

at 32.13

Steam

×9

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

281.86 $

at 31.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 313.99 $ +211.40 (+67.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −257 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

160.63 $

at 32.13

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

34.04 $

at 11.35

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

62.64 $

at 31.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 257.31 $ +149.83 (+58.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −193 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

85.00 $

at 14.17

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

96.38 $

at 32.13

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

11.35 $

at 11.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 192.72 $ +96.16 (+49.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −208 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

56.67 $

at 14.17

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

128.50 $

at 32.13

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

22.70 $

at 11.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 207.86 $ +110.58 (+53.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −223 $

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

28.33 $

at 14.17

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

160.63 $

at 32.13

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

34.04 $

at 11.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 223.00 $ +125.00 (+56.1%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

638.20 $ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

325.55 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270.87 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +97.58 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +152.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 33 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2282939 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 225.76$ · invest 289.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −290 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075855 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2284344 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 222.84$ · invest 292.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −288 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2263784 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 217.84$ · invest 302.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −303 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2275118 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 217.00$ · invest 300.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −294 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2272500 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 216.96$ · invest 288.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −282 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2283641 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 216.67$ · invest 290.92$
profit on prices without salesat least −283 $ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2265880 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 216.67$ · invest 291.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −288 $ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2278037 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 216.57$ · invest 302.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −292 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2260972 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 216.22$ · invest 292.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −283 $ rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2279380 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 216.19$ · invest 291.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −283 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2284022 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 215.26$ · invest 292.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −284 $ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2282135 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 214.91$ · invest 294.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −285 $ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2259862 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 214.24$ · invest 308.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −285 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2271642 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 213.96$ · invest 297.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −285 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2269393 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 213.21$ · invest 297.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −286 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2268290 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 212.94$ · invest 304.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −296 $ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285638 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 212.88$ · invest 300.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −287 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2267270 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 212.64$ · invest 292.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −287 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2282528 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 212.59$ · invest 300.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −293 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2281204 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 212.30$ · invest 334.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −335 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2278509 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 211.61$ · invest 318.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −315 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285940 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 211.46$ · invest 312.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −292 $ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285496 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 211.43$ · invest 307.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −302 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2270715 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 211.11$ · invest 306.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −306 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285321 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 211.02$ · invest 298.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −293 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2274390 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 210.35$ · invest 308.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −296 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2273533 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 209.89$ · invest 303.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −290 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2281587 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 209.08$ · invest 326.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −290 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2264720 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 208.24$ · invest 303.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −297 $ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2275844 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 207.08$ · invest 312.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −301 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2276495 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 205.55$ · invest 338.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −323 $ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076885 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2285927 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 203.63$ · invest 305.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −296 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2262559 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 203.39$ · invest 317.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −296 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077156 instead of 0.076751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build