The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −101 959.09₸

Invest 191 621.33₸

Average return 89 662.25₸

ROI −53.2%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 420 464.64 ₸, profit at most −330 802.45 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −105 479.15 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5012

65 211.12 ₸

at 32 605.56

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3865

66 040.59 ₸

at 33 020.29

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3865

60 369.62 ₸

at 60 369.62

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 191 621.33 ₸ −101 959.09 (−53.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 7%
Losing outcome 85%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

152 384.98 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118108

99 474.49 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

96 859.63 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

106 903.48 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

43 808.94 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

43 547.13 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

79 106.17 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

33 998.51 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

43 028.65 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

38 212.65 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

56 391.59 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

89 635.84 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

208 669.55 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

276 825.81 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

165 381.66 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

106 368.96 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

79 424.53 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

106 800.37 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

177 784.98 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

213 288.48 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

129 556.22 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

93 549.79 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

75 882.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

77 999.93 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

77 686.76 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

83 000.08 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

73 171.42 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

41 795.36 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

28 999.07 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

31 312.67 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

538 783.28 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

654 050.56 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

680 669.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

430 966.79 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

362 495.05 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

435 000.09 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

482 059.86 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

497 100.01 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

412 842.26 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

294 975.83 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

181 799.31 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

226 048.32 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 2 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 65 211.12 → 144 116.58 ₸

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 2 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 66 040.59 → 145 949.70 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 60 369.62 → 130 398.39 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.432432332

outcomes come out up to 0.034594, 0.118108, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.000000, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −114 641.15 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −103 825.68 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2292138 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −96 693.18₸ · invest 180 434.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488533 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384904 instead of 0.386527
Craft 2292145 · The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −96 693.18₸ · invest 180 434.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488533 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384904 instead of 0.386527
Craft 2291965 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −101 412.46₸ · invest 171 191.06₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)
Craft 2291976 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −101 412.46₸ · invest 171 191.06₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)
Craft 2290231 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −101 959.11₸ · invest 191 621.33₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2292073 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −105 371.50₸ · invest 185 344.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493016 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385474 instead of 0.386527
Craft 2292081 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −105 371.50₸ · invest 185 344.87₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493016 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385474 instead of 0.386527

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build