The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −10 099.70₴

Invest 18 981.32₴

Average return 8 881.62₴

ROI −53.2%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 41 649.71 ₴, profit at most −32 768.10 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −10 448.39 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5012

6 459.58 ₴

at 3 229.79

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3865

6 541.74 ₴

at 3 270.87

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3865

5 980.00 ₴

at 5 980.00

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 18 981.32 ₴ −10 099.70 (−53.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 7%
Losing outcome 85%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

15 094.71 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118108

9 853.58 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

9 594.57 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

10 589.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 339.56 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 313.62 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

7 835.97 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3 367.77 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 262.26 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3 785.21 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 585.95 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

8 879.00 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

20 670.05 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

27 421.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

16 382.11 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

10 536.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

7 867.51 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

10 579.26 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

17 610.74 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

21 127.59 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

12 833.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

9 266.71 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

7 516.64 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

7 726.39 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

7 695.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

8 221.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

7 248.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

4 140.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

2 872.54 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3 101.72 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

53 369.93 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

64 787.89 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

67 424.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

42 690.02 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

35 907.46 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

43 089.54 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

47 751.11 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

49 240.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

40 894.67 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216216

29 219.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.659459

18 008.39 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

22 391.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 2 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 6 459.58 → 14 275.67 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 2 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 6 541.74 → 14 457.25 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 980.00 → 12 916.80 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.432432332

outcomes come out up to 0.034594, 0.118108, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.000000, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.034594, 0.216216, 0.659459, 0.379999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11 355.94 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10 284.60 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2292138 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −9 578.08₴ · invest 17 873.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488533 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384904 instead of 0.386527
Craft 2292145 · The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −9 578.08₴ · invest 17 873.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488533 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384904 instead of 0.386527
Craft 2291965 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 045.55₴ · invest 16 957.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)
Craft 2291976 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −10 045.55₴ · invest 16 957.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)
Craft 2290231 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 099.70₴ · invest 18 981.32₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2292073 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −10 437.72₴ · invest 18 359.60₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493016 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385474 instead of 0.386527
Craft 2292081 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −10 437.72₴ · invest 18 359.60₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493016 instead of 0.501289; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385474 instead of 0.386527

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build