The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −240 824.74₸

Invest at least 400 809.28₸

Average return 159 984.54₸

ROI −60.1%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 400 809.28 ₸, profit at most −240 824.74 ₸

float premium: at least 221 731 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

33 130.36 ₸

at 33 130.36

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

139 216.80 ₸

at 34 804.20

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 172 347.16 ₸ −12 362.62 (−7.2%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 49%
Above the Steam cap 18%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

141 035.23 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

178 375.36 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

284 881.35 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

235 961.91 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

279 812.19 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175 566.36 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

524 305.47 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

631 782.00 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178 375.36 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

71 203.35 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

86 051.13 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

62 061.09 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

73 998.90 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

49 214.79 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

112 467.40 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 440.75 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 201.80 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

303 225.24 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 975.02 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 212.06 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 799.61 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

88 137.19 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

42 866.06 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −19 239.73 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −14 280.01 ₸ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2942189 · The Huntsman Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −11 499.05₸ · invest 205 434.38₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2942190 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −11 499.05₸ · invest 205 434.38₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2942874 · The Huntsman Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −12 362.60₸ · invest 172 347.16₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2942885 · The Prisma Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −12 564.31₸ · invest 183 603.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2942886 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −12 564.31₸ · invest 183 603.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build