The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −23 872.04₴

Invest at least 39 730.70₴

Average return 15 858.66₴

ROI −60.1%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 39 730.70 ₴, profit at most −23 872.04 ₴

float premium: at least 21 979 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

3 284.09 ₴

at 3 284.09

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

13 800.03 ₴

at 3 450.01

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 084.12 ₴ −1 225.46 (−7.2%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 49%
Above the Steam cap 18%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 980.28 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

17 681.67 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

28 239.20 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

23 390.00 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

27 736.72 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 403.22 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 972.40 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 626.14 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 681.67 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

7 058.12 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 529.92 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

6 151.88 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 335.23 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 878.47 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

11 148.47 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 577.28 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 967.58 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 057.56 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 945.10 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 580.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 198.87 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 736.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

4 249.15 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 907.16 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1 415.52 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2942189 · The Huntsman Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −1 139.86₴ · invest 20 363.93₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2942190 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −1 139.86₴ · invest 20 363.93₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2942874 · The Huntsman Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −1 225.46₴ · invest 17 084.12₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2942885 · The Prisma Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −1 245.45₴ · invest 18 199.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063
Craft 2942886 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −1 245.45₴ · invest 18 199.94₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.010063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build