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The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −155.36₽

Invest at least 308.66₽

Average return 153.30₽

ROI −50.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 308.66 ₽, profit at most −155.36 ₽

float premium: at least 172 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

88.65 ₽

at 9.85

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

34.96 ₽

at 34.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.61 ₽ +29.69 (+24.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 6%
About break-even 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

201.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

158.08 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

248.56 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.36 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

149.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Acid Etched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

110.74 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

99.99 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

95.24 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Darkwing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

137.13 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Fever Dream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107999

167.53 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.51 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.97 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2971742 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 32.19₽ · invest 120.65₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.165777
Craft 2971775 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 29.14₽ · invest 130.74₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.165777

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build