StatTrak™
Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10About the craftCraft 2996987 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
share of fitting lots unknownassemble: no data
×350
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4879
26 183.50 ₽
at 74.81
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details7 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.487924f′ (normalized) 0.650566wear 0.4500–0.7500on the market 20
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 7 of 62 · from 88.61 ₽ (float 0.4585) · craft not before 27.10 · data 20.10 01:47 MSK
×150
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1790
(3% of this wear's listings)
12 343.50 ₽
at 82.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details3 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.179075f′ (normalized) 0.238767wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 30 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 276.84 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 106 · from 120.91 ₽ (float 0.1512) · craft not before 27.10 · data 20.10 01:47 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves
Craft on only from StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Battle-Scarred), StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 660.28 ₽.
Craft on only from StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 3 294.17 ₽.
Set · 500 pcs38 527.00 ₽
−17 195.13
(−44.6%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
13 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Restricted → Classified
50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Field-Tested
float up to 0.210810
790.86 ₽33%
SteamStatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested)+27.42each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.527026
741.49 ₽33%
SteamStatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Battle-Scarred)fetches 644.77, no more than the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
float up to 0.300405
606.00 ₽33%
SteamStatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested)fetches 526.96, no more than the replacement
2
Classified → Covert
5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire
Field-Tested
float up to 0.373648
7 940.57 ₽50%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)+3 610.67each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
float up to 0.263513
3 294.17 ₽50%
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested)fetches 2 864.50, no more than the replacement
3
Covert → a knife or gloves
1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 36 949.56 ₽sells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 27 142.76 ₽
(you get 23 602.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 302
sell on Market.CSGO: 23 193.90 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 25 431.91 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 24 073.60 ₽listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 23 513.66 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 22 549.85 ₽listings: 37
sell now to a buy order: 11 822.36 ₽
(you get 10 280.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 142
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 346.44 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 827.24 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 15 669.78 ₽listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 15 912.84 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 123.14 ₽listings: 12
listed at 13 250.90 ₽, the better wear is cheaperno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 9 165.28 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
sell now to a buy order: 9 099.25 ₽
(you get 7 912.39 ₽)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 451.62 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 267.13 · lots 7CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 7 184.64 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 8 339.22 ₽listings: 6
sell now to a buy order: 14 071.10 ₽
(you get 12 235.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 101
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 670.88 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 990.00 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
listed at 10 000.00 ₽, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 7 998.36 ₽
(you get 6 955.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
listed at 10 987.64 ₽, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 5 757.13 ₽
(you get 5 006.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 102Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 5 437.99 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 21 056.80 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 21 486.54 ₽listings 8 · you get 21 056.80 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 8 781.76 ₽
(you get 7 636.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 21 486.54 ₽listings: 8Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 7 050.58 ₽
(you get 6 130.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 78Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
listed at 7 440.33 ₽, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 4 420.47 ₽
(you get 3 843.88 ₽)) · buy orders: 39Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 6 317.77 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
listed at 12 067.14 ₽, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 10 549.57 ₽
(you get 9 173.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 67not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 10 437.79 ₽
(you get 9 076.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 58Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 15 375.03 ₽sells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 16 502.08 ₽
(you get 14 349.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 419Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 22 280.98 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 19 556.18 ₽listings: 10
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Battle-Scarred) × 35013% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.9026 183.50 → 75 932.15 ₽
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) × 15013% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.9012 343.50 → 35 796.15 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.527026927
outcomes come out up to 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
No other variants in this recount
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−18 564.64 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−17 239.33 ₽historical median
8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.