StatTrak™
Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10About the craftCraft 2996987 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
share of fitting lots unknownassemble: no data
×350
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.4879
316.18 $
at 0.90
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details7 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.487924f′ (normalized) 0.650566wear 0.4500–0.7500on the market 20
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 7 of 62 · from 1.07 $ (float 0.4585) · craft not before 27.10 · data 20.10 01:47 MSK
×150
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1790
(3% of this wear's listings)
149.05 $
at 0.99
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details3 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.179075f′ (normalized) 0.238767wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 30 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 3.34 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 106 · from 1.46 $ (float 0.1512) · craft not before 27.10 · data 20.10 01:47 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves
Craft on only from StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Battle-Scarred), StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 7.97 $.
Craft on only from StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 39.78 $.
Set · 500 pcs465.23 $
−207.64
(−44.6%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
13 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Restricted → Classified
50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy
Field-Tested
float up to 0.210810
9.55 $33%
SteamStatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested)+0.33each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.527026
8.95 $33%
SteamStatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Battle-Scarred)fetches 7.79, no more than the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia
Field-Tested
float up to 0.300405
7.32 $33%
SteamStatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested)fetches 6.36, no more than the replacement
2
Classified → Covert
5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire
Field-Tested
float up to 0.373648
95.89 $50%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)+43.60each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration
Field-Tested
float up to 0.263513
39.78 $50%
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested)fetches 34.59, no more than the replacement
3
Covert → a knife or gloves
1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 446.18 $sells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 327.76 $
(you get 285.01 $)) · buy orders: 302
sell on Market.CSGO: 280.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 307.10 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 290.70 $listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 283.94 $
on Lis-Skins: from 272.30 $listings: 37
sell now to a buy order: 142.76 $
(you get 124.14 $)) · buy orders: 142
sell on Market.CSGO: 185.32 $ to your card
cheapest lot 203.20 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 189.22 $listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 192.16 $
on Lis-Skins: from 206.77 $listings: 12
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 130.44 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 160.01 $, the better wear is cheaperno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 110.68 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
sell now to a buy order: 109.88 $
(you get 95.55 $)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 102.06 $ to your card
cheapest lot 111.90 · lots 7CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 86.76 $
on Lis-Skins: from 100.70 $listings: 6
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 165.22 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 169.92 $
(you get 147.75 $)) · buy orders: 101
sell on Market.CSGO: 165.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 181.01 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
listed at 120.75 $, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 96.58 $
(you get 83.99 $)) · buy orders: 95Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
listed at 132.68 $, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 69.52 $
(you get 60.45 $)) · buy orders: 102Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 65.67 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)net 254.27 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 259.46 $listings 8 · you get 254.27 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 106.04 $
(you get 92.21 $)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 259.46 $listings: 8Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 85.14 $
(you get 74.03 $)) · buy orders: 78Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
listed at 89.85 $, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 53.38 $
(you get 46.42 $)) · buy orders: 39Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 76.29 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)net 100.32 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 145.72 $, the better wear is cheapersell now to a buy order: 127.39 $
(you get 110.77 $)) · buy orders: 67not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 126.04 $
(you get 109.60 $)) · buy orders: 58Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Classic Knifenet 185.66 $sells 2 a weeksell now to a buy order: 199.27 $
(you get 173.28 $)) · buy orders: 419Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 269.05 $
on Lis-Skins: from 236.15 $listings: 10
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Battle-Scarred) × 35013% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.90316.18 → 916.92 $
StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) × 15013% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.90149.05 → 432.26 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.527026927
outcomes come out up to 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
No other variants in this recount
More
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−224.18 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−208.17 $historical median
8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.