The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +177 980.08₸

Invest 623 018.89₸

Average return 800 998.98₸

ROI +28.6%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 1 421 025.89 ₸, profit at most −620 026.85 ₸

float premium: at least 764 015 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +263 715.19 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −552 865.60 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

255 677.14 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

367 341.75 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 623 018.89 ₸ +177 980.08 (+28.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.9% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

1 022 708.57 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

91 835.44 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 114 544.00 ₸ +263 715.19 (+23.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.3% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

767 031.42 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

183 670.88 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 950 702.30 ₸ +235 136.82 (+24.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

511 354.28 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

275 506.31 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 786 860.60 ₸ +206 558.45 (+26.2%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

746 701.16 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593 289.36 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 131.71 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

277 476.32 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

232 090.34 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 275.00 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

760 540.29 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

746 959.24 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

669 094.37 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

588 060.63 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357 763.14 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 014 526.37 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

565 004.51 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

628 803.83 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 543.30 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

481 865.68 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

407 432.30 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 522.39 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550 423.80 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 881 255.32 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850 963.11 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 123.99 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305 948.51 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 530.54 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

522 196.93 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 520.17 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 467 228.96 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

348 515.49 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

987 674.55 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

516 080.91 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 405.31 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

853 344.34 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207 797.91 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 923 985.90 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 264 185.01 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 025 431.16 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 493 918.43 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 681 039.75 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 739.75 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 151.49 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 298.67 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 966.99 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +174 608.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +176 518.26 ₸ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402140 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 177 980.11₸ · invest 623 018.89₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build