The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +17 862.92₴

Invest 62 529.11₴

Average return 80 392.03₴

ROI +28.6%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 142 620.85 ₴, profit at most −62 228.81 ₴

float premium: at least 76 680 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +26 467.70 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −55 488.19 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

25 660.96 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

36 868.15 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 62 529.11 ₴ +17 862.92 (+28.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.9% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

102 643.84 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

9 217.04 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 111 860.88 ₴ +26 467.70 (+23.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.3% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

76 982.88 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

18 434.07 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 95 416.96 ₴ +23 599.44 (+24.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

51 321.92 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

27 651.11 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 78 973.03 ₴ +20 731.18 (+26.2%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 942.44 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 545.31 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 086.16 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 848.83 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 293.68 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 319.51 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 331.40 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 968.34 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 153.46 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 020.53 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 906.79 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

202 187.35 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 706.51 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 109.71 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 120.03 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48 362.31 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 891.82 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 076.06 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55 243.12 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 811.64 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 406.66 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 036.08 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 706.43 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 693.66 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 410.14 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 760.16 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 622.71 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 978.66 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 127.67 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 796.31 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 626.38 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 645.65 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 855.58 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

193 100.28 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331 256.03 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 011.22 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149 936.68 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971 634.71 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 993.87 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 965.90 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 099.27 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 055.04 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17 524.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17 716.20 ₴ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402140 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 17 862.92₴ · invest 62 529.11₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build