The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +266 376.75₸

Invest 799 676.59₸

Average return 1 066 053.34₸

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 1 801 010.85 ₸, profit at most −734 957.50 ₸

float premium: at least 919 675 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −598 302.03 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

674 511.45 ₸

at 224 837.15

Steam

×2

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1027

125 165.15 ₸

at 62 582.57

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 799 676.59 ₸ +266 376.75 (+33.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −111 014 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

449 674.30 ₸

at 224 837.15

Steam

×1

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1044

62 582.57 ₸

at 62 582.57

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Chatterbox

Field-Tested

buy 0.3500–0.3526

237 966.70 ₸

at 118 983.35

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 750 223.57 ₸ +42 785.71 (+5.7%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

402 499.18 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

625 200.41 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

398 087.31 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

523 010.16 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

297 888.77 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730 130.91 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

981 259.39 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

534 567.48 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

674 107.47 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

838 803.96 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

764 442.43 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

468 853.65 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 919 219.78 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

780 500.28 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 284 841.35 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 217 003.10 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 292 211.52 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 702 885.41 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 538.95 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258 497.62 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

703 280.50 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158 630.69 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

209 401.37 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

175 285.87 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

150 338.95 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

112 305.56 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

94 779.39 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

585 053.12 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

170 697.84 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

138 783.91 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

113 140.21 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

76 445.75 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

76 209.58 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

249 567.92 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

62 024.03 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

57 077.05 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

50 066.09 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

36 357.81 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

27 033.03 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 973.41 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

782 283.12 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

626 927.63 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

396 356.82 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

417 217.66 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

356 739.00 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

748 122.48 ₸ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

521 522.08 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

423 382.26 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

319 798.99 ₸ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

380 935.32 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

293 033.54 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

675 909.13 ₸ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 674 511.45 → 1 524 395.87 ₸

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 125 165.15 → 276 614.98 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +239 291.53 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +263 342.77 ₸ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2942232 · The Chroma Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 266 376.77₸ · invest 799 676.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build