The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +587.50$

Invest 1 763.70$

Average return 2 351.20$

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 3 972.17 $, profit at most −1 620.96 $

float premium: at least 2 028 $

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −1 319.57 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 487.65 $

at 495.88

Steam

×2

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1027

276.05 $

at 138.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 763.70 $ +587.50 (+33.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −245 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

991.77 $

at 495.88

Steam

×1

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1044

138.03 $

at 138.03

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Chatterbox

Field-Tested

buy 0.3500–0.3526

524.84 $

at 262.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 654.63 $ +94.36 (+5.7%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

887.72 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 378.89 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

877.99 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 153.51 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

657.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 610.32 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 164.19 $ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 179.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 486.76 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 850.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 685.99 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 034.07 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 232.88 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 721.41 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 300.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 300.69 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 850.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 399.92 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 196.58 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

570.12 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 551.10 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

349.86 $ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

461.84 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

386.60 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

331.58 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

247.69 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

209.04 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 290.35 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

376.48 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

306.09 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

249.53 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

168.60 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

168.08 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550.43 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

136.80 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

125.88 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

110.42 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

80.19 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

59.62 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.88 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 725.34 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 382.70 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

874.17 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

920.18 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

786.80 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 650.00 $ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 150.23 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

933.78 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

705.32 $ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

840.16 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

646.29 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 490.73 $ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1 487.65 → 3 362.09 $

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 276.05 → 610.08 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +527.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +580.81 $ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2942232 · The Chroma Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 587.50$ · invest 1 763.70$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build